As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Defence at 77.0% in What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event? — $1.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Defence, is priced at 77.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, Defence has traded between 74.5% and 76.5%. It opened at 74.5% and last traded at 76.5%.
Defence is favored at 77.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defence | 77¢ | 77.0% | +0.5 pts | $50 | 3.8% |
| Scotland | 74¢ | 74.5% | -6.0 pts | $108 | 8.1% |
| Mr Speaker 30+ times | 74¢ | 73.5% | — | $22 | 1.7% |
| Reform | 73¢ | 73.0% | -1.0 pts | $22 | 1.6% |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 5+ times | 59¢ | 59.0% | +3.5 pts | $118 | 8.9% |
| NHS | 40¢ | 39.5% | +6.0 pts | $281 | 21.2% |
| Trump | 38¢ | 38.5% | -0.5 pts | $412 | 31.2% |
| Wales | 38¢ | 37.5% | +4.0 pts | $143 | 10.8% |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 31¢ | 30.9% | +6.2 pts | $94 | 7.1% |
| Immigration | 24¢ | 23.5% | +0.5 pts | $72 | 5.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 34¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Andy Burnham is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens or Andy Burnham does not participate in a Prime Minister's Question Time event by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Andy Burnham ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Andy Burnham titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/andy-burnham/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the events. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 50 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 50 | $12 |
| Dirty-Burn | Yes | 38 | $29 |
| Harmonious-Cage | Yes | 12 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 10:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $3 |
| Oct 22, 07:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 07:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 07:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 07:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 39.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 04:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $13 |
| Oct 22, 04:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 04:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Defence at 77.0%. Next is Scotland at 74.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-andy-burnham-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-20261028?via=bro
$1.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Defence, priced at 77.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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