As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑ $4,500 at 49.5% in What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December? — $2.16M traded so far.
↑ $4,500 is favored at 49.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $4,500 | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓ $3,500 | 12¢ | 12.5% | -2.5 pts | $39.3K | 1.8% |
| ↑ $5,000 | 6¢ | 5.5% | -7.5 pts | $184.0K | 8.5% |
| ↓ $3,000 | 4¢ | 4.2% | +0.1 pts | $17.8K | 0.8% |
| ↑ $6,000 | 3¢ | 2.8% | -1.0 pts | $1.35M | 62.6% |
| ↓ $2,500 | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $951 | 0.0% |
| ↑ $7,000 | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.1 pts | $195.1K | 9.0% |
| ↑ $8,000 | 2¢ | 1.7% | — | $76.8K | 3.6% |
| ↑ $10,000 | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.1 pts | $104.5K | 4.8% |
| ↑ $12,000 | 1¢ | 1.0% | — | $71.2K | 3.3% |
| ↑ $15,000 | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $116.6K | 5.4% |
$2.16M has been traded on this event in total, $16.9K of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market’s creation will not be considered. For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. … (condensed)
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.3% | $51 |
| Oct 24, 01:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $105 |
| Oct 24, 12:55 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.2% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $56 |
| Oct 24, 12:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $79 |
| Oct 24, 12:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $97 |
| Oct 24, 08:37 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $486 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $126 |
| Oct 24, 08:35 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $292 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑ $4,500 at 49.5%. Next is ↓ $3,500 at 12.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december?via=bro
$2.16M in total volume, with $16.9K traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
↑ $4,500, priced at 49.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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