As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Good Day at 92.5% in What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference? — $5.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Good Day, is priced at 92.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -1.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, Good Day has traded between 93.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 94.5% and last traded at 94.0%.
Good Day is favored at 92.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Good Day | 92¢ | 92.5% | -1.5 pts | $81 | 1.5% |
| Good Question | 88¢ | 88.0% | -5.0 pts | $125 | 2.3% |
| CapEx / Capital Expenditure | 74¢ | 73.5% | +0.5 pts | $50 | 0.9% |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas | 73¢ | 73.0% | -3.5 pts | $90 | 1.7% |
| Price 30+ times | 72¢ | 71.5% | +0.5 pts | $112 | 2.1% |
| President / Trump | 70¢ | 69.5% | — | $100 | 1.8% |
| Pressure / Stagflation | 69¢ | 69.0% | — | $5 | 0.1% |
| Conflict / Middle East | 64¢ | 64.0% | — | $527 | 9.7% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | 48¢ | 47.5% | +2.0 pts | $806 | 14.8% |
| Inflation 20+ times | 46¢ | 46.5% | — | $46 | 0.8% |
| Payroll | 38¢ | 38.0% | — | $445 | 8.2% |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 37¢ | 37.0% | -1.0 pts | $2.4K | 45.0% |
| Oversight | 29¢ | 29.0% | +5.0 pts | $23 | 0.4% |
| Pandemic / Recession | 28¢ | 28.0% | — | $65 | 1.2% |
| Soft / Softening | 28¢ | 27.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Unchanged / Dissent | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $25 | 0.5% |
| Software | 16¢ | 16.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gold / Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 11¢ | 11.0% | +3.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Good Afternoon | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $55 | 1.0% |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $428 | 7.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 91¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.4K has been traded on this event in total, $730 of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 02:35 PM ET.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on October 28, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 38 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Icarvs | No | 38 | $3 |
| Teeming-Guarantee | Yes | 22 | $21 |
| Thunderous-Clutch | Yes | 16 | $15 |
| Fake-Inn | Yes | 5 | $5 |
| Elegant-Cloister | No | 5 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 04:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 04:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 02:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 41.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 07:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 07:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.2% | $158 |
| Oct 23, 05:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 59.3% | $30 |
| Oct 23, 05:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $55 |
| Oct 23, 05:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 46.0% | $75 |
| Oct 22, 08:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Good Day at 92.5%. Next is Good Question at 88.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-october-press-conference?via=bro
$5.4K in total volume, with $730 traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 02:35 PM ET.
Good Day, priced at 92.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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