As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 10 Gwei at 28.0% in What will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit before 2027? — $19.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 10 Gwei, is priced at 28.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -12.5 pts; past week: +2.5 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since December 15, 2025, 10 Gwei has traded between 5.5% and 54.0%. It opened at 10.0% and last traded at 26.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 26.0% |
10 Gwei is favored at 28.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Gwei | 28¢ | 28.0% | -12.5 pts | $1.8K | 9.0% |
| 5 Gwei | 28¢ | 27.5% | — | $1.6K | 8.0% |
| 25 Gwei | 17¢ | 17.2% | -0.2 pts | $5.4K | 27.7% |
| 20 Gwei | 11¢ | 10.9% | -0.1 pts | $5.1K | 26.5% |
| 15 Gwei | 8¢ | 8.5% | -0.5 pts | $2.8K | 14.3% |
| 40 Gwei | 7¢ | 7.4% | — | $2.8K | 14.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 52¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 54¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold. A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Resolution source: https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 95 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 95 | $26 |
| Stained-Cynic | No | 80 | $58 |
| Wise-Kindness | No | 64 | $46 |
| Odd-Relish | No | 60 | $43 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $11 |
| Musty-Almanac | Yes | 30 | $8 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 22 | $6 |
| Lonely-Jacket | No | 17 | $12 |
| Gripping-Riot | Yes | 15 | $4 |
| Unrealistic-Literate | Yes | 9 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 04:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $6 |
| Sep 29, 07:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Sep 26, 04:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $100 |
| Sep 23, 10:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.9% | $62 |
| Sep 07, 05:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.1% | $6 |
| Sep 07, 04:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.7% | $0 |
| Aug 30, 01:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.8% | $5 |
| Aug 17, 07:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.2% | $5 |
| Aug 16, 11:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.8% | $0 |
| Aug 16, 06:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 10 Gwei at 28.0%. Next is 5 Gwei at 27.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-average-monthly-ethereum-gas-price-hit-before-2027?via=bro
$19.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices.
10 Gwei, priced at 28.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.