As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑ 50 at 16.5% in What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility Index hit by October 31? — $7.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑ 50, is priced at 16.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +9.5 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, ↑ 50 has traded between 9.5% and 50.0%. It opened at 32.0% and last traded at 16.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 16.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 16.5% |
↑ 50 is favored at 16.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 50 | 16¢ | 16.5% | +1.0 pts | $586 | 8.3% |
| ↑ 45 | 12¢ | 12.0% | -3.0 pts | $2.5K | 35.2% |
| ↑ 70 | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $341 | 4.8% |
| ↑ 60 | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.4 pts | $797 | 11.3% |
| ↑ 55 | 4¢ | 3.9% | -9.7 pts | $1.3K | 18.1% |
| ↓ 35 | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $852 | 12.1% |
| ↓ 30 | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $312 | 4.4% |
| ↓ 25 | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $227 | 3.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 31¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 32¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.1K has been traded on this event in total, $251 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” or “Low” value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index “High” and “Low” values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 75 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 75 | $12 |
| Calculating-Sideburns | No | 50 | $42 |
| Energetic-Mansion | No | 43 | $36 |
| Velvety-Patent | Yes | 40 | $7 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 39 | $6 |
| Different-Hygienic-Elver | No | 31 | $26 |
| Fixed-Eaglet | No | 30 | $25 |
| Tempting-Skullcap-Starboard | No | 24 | $20 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 22 | $4 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 8 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.1% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 11:48 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:58 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 10:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 08:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $142 |
| Oct 24, 05:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $14 |
| Oct 19, 08:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑ 50 at 16.5%. Next is ↑ 45 at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-bitcoin-implied-volatility-index-hit-by-october-31-2026?via=bro
$7.1K in total volume, with $251 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.
↑ 50, priced at 16.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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