As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓ 30 at 12.0% in What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026? — $22.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓ 30, is priced at 12.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +2.5 pts.
Since January 26, 2026, ↓ 30 has traded between 7.0% and 69.5%. It opened at 43.5% and last traded at 12.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 12.0% |
↓ 30 is favored at 12.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 30 | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $659 | 3.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 15¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$22.3K has been traded on this event in total, $1 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index between January 26, 2026, 11:30 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "Low" value equal to or lower than the value specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index "Low" values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 46 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Selfish-Shampoo | No | 46 | $41 |
| Upright-Day | Yes | 45 | $5 |
| Speedy-Innervation | No | 40 | $35 |
| Mild-Skating | Yes | 26 | $3 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 22 | $3 |
| United-Welcome | No | 6 | $5 |
| Frigid-Surge | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| Sharp-Landform | No | 5 | $4 |
| Immaterial-Sari | Yes | 3 | $0 |
| Meaty-Sandal | No | 2 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 04:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $0 |
| Oct 04, 09:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.9% | $22 |
| Sep 08, 04:39 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $17 |
| Sep 08, 10:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.6% | $7 |
| Aug 09, 02:06 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.7% | $4 |
| Aug 08, 10:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $5 |
| Aug 06, 08:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $2 |
| Jul 25, 06:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $4 |
| Jul 16, 05:03 PM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓ 30 at 12.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-bitcoin-volatility-index-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$22.3K in total volume, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV.
↓ 30, priced at 12.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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