As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $830K - $851K at 31.1% in What will the median home value in Miami be on December 31? — $19.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $830K - $851K, is priced at 31.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.1 pts; past week: +4.3 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, $830K - $851K has traded between 2.5% and 31.1%. It opened at 19.5% and last traded at 31.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 22.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 29.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 26.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 25.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 31.1% |
$830K - $851K is favored at 31.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $830K - $851K | 31¢ | 31.1% | +3.1 pts | $3.3K | 17.1% |
| $809K - $830K | 28¢ | 28.0% | -3.5 pts | $6.2K | 32.1% |
| $788K - $809K | 28¢ | 27.7% | +6.8 pts | $2.6K | 13.5% |
| $851K - $870K | 10¢ | 10.4% | -3.5 pts | $1.3K | 6.7% |
| $870K+ | 2¢ | 2.0% | +1.5 pts | $1.9K | 9.7% |
| $767K - $788K | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $2.4K | 12.3% |
| <$767K | 1¢ | 1.4% | — | $1.6K | 8.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 30¢ / ask 32¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.3K has been traded on this event in total, $306 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Miami, Florida on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Miami City. The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100, which is the median square footage in Miami. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/55)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 782 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 782 | $539 |
| Glorious-Pretzel | Yes | 600 | $187 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 469 | $323 |
| Sore-Pitching | Yes | 250 | $78 |
| Giving-Mobster | Yes | 231 | $72 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 175 | $54 |
| Whimsical-Plaster-Celsius | Yes | 157 | $49 |
| Required-Tactics | No | 125 | $86 |
| Worldly-Glutamate | Yes | 69 | $21 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 66 | $46 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 31.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 31.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.2% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 63.1% | $38 |
| Oct 24, 03:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 33.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is $830K - $851K at 31.1%. Next is $809K - $830K at 28.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-miami-be-on-december-31?via=bro
$19.3K in total volume, with $306 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
$830K - $851K, priced at 31.1% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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