As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price <$1.115M at 48.0% in What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on December 31? — $25.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, <$1.115M, is priced at 48.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: +8.5 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, <$1.115M has traded between 11.5% and 53.0%. It opened at 20.0% and last traded at 48.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 47.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 47.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 48.0% |
<$1.115M is favored at 48.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <$1.115M | 48¢ | 48.0% | +1.0 pts | $11.0K | 43.3% |
| $1.115M - $1.126M | 17¢ | 17.0% | — | $2.7K | 10.7% |
| $1.126M - $1.137M | 14¢ | 14.5% | +2.5 pts | $3.0K | 11.7% |
| $1.137M - $1.148M | 11¢ | 10.5% | +2.4 pts | $1.4K | 5.6% |
| $1.148M - $1.159M | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $2.8K | 10.8% |
| $1.168M+ | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $1.5K | 5.7% |
| $1.159M - $1.168M | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $3.1K | 12.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 47¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$25.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Los Angeles Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/56)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,209 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,209 | $629 |
| Chief-Plot | Yes | 867 | $416 |
| Sore-Pitching | Yes | 820 | $393 |
| Expert-Neuropathologist | Yes | 338 | $162 |
| Lined-Protein | No | 217 | $113 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 200 | $104 |
| Arid-Cinema | No | 150 | $78 |
| Attached-Schedule | No | 118 | $62 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 111 | $58 |
| 0xd0d90cd5… | Yes | 75 | $36 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 01:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 46.0% | $23 |
| Oct 21, 07:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 45.0% | $27 |
| Oct 21, 07:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 07:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.0% | $524 |
| Oct 20, 02:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $76 |
| Oct 20, 11:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 08:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $10 |
| Oct 18, 04:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $36 |
| Oct 18, 09:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $24 |
| Oct 18, 01:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $32 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is <$1.115M at 48.0%. Next is $1.115M - $1.126M at 17.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-los-angeles-metro-area-be-on-december-31?via=bro
$25.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
<$1.115M, priced at 48.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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