As of October 24, 2026, 09:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Russia at 80.5% in What will Trump post this week? (October 26 - November 1) — $17 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Russia, is priced at 80.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +30.5 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, Russia has traded between 50.0% and 80.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 80.5%.
Russia is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia | 80¢ | 80.5% | +30.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| China | 72¢ | 72.0% | +22.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Scam / Scum | 64¢ | 64.5% | -12.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Genius / Elon / Musk | 61¢ | 61.0% | -9.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Israel | 52¢ | 52.0% | +2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Greenland | 25¢ | 25.0% | -25.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ceasefire / Uranium | 18¢ | 17.5% | -32.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Allah | 8¢ | 8.5% | -41.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 8¢ | 8.0% | -42.0 pts | $17 | 100.0% |
| Moon / UFO / UAP | 6¢ | 5.5% | -44.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Trump Ocean / Trump Strait | 6¢ | 5.5% | -44.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Flying Car / Roadster | 3¢ | 3.0% | -46.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$17 has been traded on this event in total, $17 of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. … (condensed)
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Russia at 80.5%. Next is China at 72.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-post-this-week-october-26-november-1-20261101?via=bro
$17 in total volume, with $17 traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Russia, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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