As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Iran 5+ times at 85.0% in What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? — $64.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Iran 5+ times, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.0 pts.
Iran 5+ times is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran 5+ times | 85¢ | 85.0% | +8.0 pts | $4.4K | 6.8% |
| Hormuz / Blockade | 84¢ | 84.5% | +7.0 pts | $2.1K | 3.3% |
| Russia / Ukraine | 83¢ | 83.0% | -5.0 pts | $7.1K | 10.9% |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 30+ times | 74¢ | 74.5% | +23.0 pts | $2.7K | 4.1% |
| Border 22+ times | 74¢ | 74.0% | +26.0 pts | $4.3K | 6.6% |
| Crime / Criminal 10+ times | 62¢ | 62.5% | +10.5 pts | $3.9K | 6.0% |
| SI / Super Intelligence | 57¢ | 57.5% | -3.0 pts | $3.9K | 6.0% |
| Hell 15+ times | 55¢ | 55.0% | +5.0 pts | $2.8K | 4.3% |
| Ass | 53¢ | 53.0% | +13.0 pts | $1.7K | 2.7% |
| Transgender 7+ times | 52¢ | 52.0% | -7.5 pts | $2.3K | 3.6% |
| Fentanyl / Deport / Deported | 46¢ | 46.0% | +20.0 pts | $811 | 1.2% |
| Drill Baby Drill | 42¢ | 42.0% | +14.5 pts | $1.6K | 2.5% |
| Laken Riley Act | 40¢ | 40.0% | -13.0 pts | $1.7K | 2.6% |
| Two Percent | 36¢ | 36.0% | +3.5 pts | $966 | 1.5% |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 36¢ | 35.5% | +11.0 pts | $14.6K | 22.4% |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 35¢ | 34.8% | +31.4 pts | $5.8K | 8.9% |
| Tax 33+ times | 26¢ | 26.5% | -11.0 pts | $2.3K | 3.6% |
| Data Center | 24¢ | 24.5% | +12.5 pts | $511 | 0.8% |
| Filibuster | 16¢ | 16.0% | +1.5 pts | $365 | 0.6% |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 1¢ | 0.8% | -0.2 pts | $1.2K | 1.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$64.9K has been traded on this event in total, $51.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:05 PM ET.
Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Macon, Georgia on October 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-macon-ga-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Georgia on October 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 909 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exhausted-Casement | Yes | 909 | $773 |
| Generous-Maximum | No | 858 | $129 |
| Cheerful-Ephemera | Yes | 748 | $636 |
| Unhealthy-Prize | No | 530 | $80 |
| Diligent-Gallery-Offset | Yes | 307 | $261 |
| Unpleasant-Distinction | No | 306 | $46 |
| Dual-Cephalopod | Yes | 200 | $170 |
| Glossy-Cashier | No | 181 | $27 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery | Yes | 162 | $138 |
| Known-Use | No | 125 | $19 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:51 PM ET | No | BUY | 74.6% | $572 |
| Oct 24, 07:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $72 |
| Oct 24, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 07:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 07:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 07:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Iran 5+ times at 85.0%. Next is Hormuz / Blockade at 84.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-his-midterm-rally-in-georgia-october-24?via=bro
$64.9K in total volume, with $51.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 07:05 PM ET.
Iran 5+ times, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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