As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Neurotic at 48.5% in What will Trump say in October? — $13.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Neurotic, is priced at 48.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -9.5 pts.
Since September 29, 2026, Neurotic has traded between 27.5% and 70.0%. It opened at 59.0% and last traded at 48.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 57.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 57.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 48.0% |
Neurotic is favored at 48.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neurotic | 48¢ | 48.5% | +0.5 pts | $202 | 1.5% |
| Illness | 48¢ | 48.0% | -4.0 pts | $132 | 1.0% |
| Weave | 46¢ | 46.0% | -3.0 pts | $171 | 1.3% |
| Dancing in the Street | 38¢ | 38.5% | -9.0 pts | $268 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 77¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$13.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A 'mention' will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 90 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elegant-Cloister | Yes | 90 | $44 |
| Required-Horn | No | 30 | $15 |
| Grouchy-Boulder | No | 30 | $15 |
| Decimal-Goggles-Mincemeat | No | 18 | $9 |
| Stylish-Centurion-Reservation | No | 12 | $6 |
| Bowed-Criteria | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood | No | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 03:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.5% | $94 |
| Oct 18, 06:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $10 |
| Oct 07, 05:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $5 |
| Oct 05, 06:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $6 |
| Oct 02, 08:43 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $15 |
| Oct 01, 07:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $8 |
| Oct 01, 05:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 55.0% | $16 |
| Oct 01, 03:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 88.0% | $34 |
| Oct 01, 03:15 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 90.0% | $27 |
| Sep 30, 11:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Neurotic at 48.5%. Next is Illness at 48.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-october-2026?via=bro
$13.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Neurotic, priced at 48.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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