As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Trump Ocean / Trump Strait at 76.0% in What will Trump say this week? (October 26 - November 1) — $751 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Trump Ocean / Trump Strait, is priced at 76.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, Trump Ocean / Trump Strait has traded between 74.0% and 76.0%. It opened at 74.0% and last traded at 76.0%.
Trump Ocean / Trump Strait is favored at 76.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump Ocean / Trump Strait | 76¢ | 76.0% | +2.0 pts | $163 | 21.7% |
| Genius / Elon / Musk | 74¢ | 74.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ceasefire / Uranium | 74¢ | 73.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| No No No | 74¢ | 73.5% | -0.5 pts | $50 | 6.7% |
| Good Looking | 73¢ | 73.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Apple | 72¢ | 72.5% | -1.5 pts | $100 | 13.3% |
| Radical Left Lunatic | 72¢ | 72.0% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Athlete / Athletic | 72¢ | 72.0% | -2.0 pts | $50 | 6.7% |
| Moon | 70¢ | 70.5% | -3.5 pts | $50 | 6.7% |
| Happy Halloween | 70¢ | 70.0% | -4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Muscle / Muscular | 50¢ | 49.5% | -24.5 pts | $188 | 25.0% |
| Pirate | 48¢ | 48.0% | -26.0 pts | $100 | 13.3% |
| Easter | 30¢ | 30.0% | +4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Death To America | 30¢ | 30.0% | +4.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Six Seven | 28¢ | 27.5% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 27¢ | 27.0% | -47.0 pts | $50 | 6.7% |
| Gays For Palestine | 26¢ | 26.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ranked Choice | 26¢ | 26.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 32¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$751 has been traded on this event in total, $451 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 26, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poor-Track | No | 100 | $24 |
| Elegant-Cloister | Yes | 50 | $38 |
| Electric-Architect | Yes | 50 | $38 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood | Yes | 50 | $38 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 37 | $9 |
| Magnificent-Pawnshop-Fiery | No | 13 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 12:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 10:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 10:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 48.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 04:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 09:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $25 |
| Oct 23, 09:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 09:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $25 |
| Oct 23, 05:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $25 |
| Oct 23, 05:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 50.0% | $25 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Trump Ocean / Trump Strait at 76.0%. Next is Genius / Elon / Musk at 74.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-this-week-october-26-november-1-20261101?via=bro
$751 in total volume, with $451 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Trump Ocean / Trump Strait, priced at 76.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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