As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price by December 31, 2027 at 26.5% in When will Bitcoin hit $150k? — $27.32M traded so far.
The leading outcome, by December 31, 2027, is priced at 26.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +6.0 pts; past month: -11.5 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, by December 31, 2027 has traded between 18.0% and 67.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 26.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 20.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 30.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 27.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 26.5% |
by December 31, 2027 is favored at 26.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by December 31, 2027 | 26¢ | 26.5% | -1.0 pts | $13.7K | 0.1% |
| by September 30, 2027 | 18¢ | 18.0% | +1.0 pts | $10.1K | 0.0% |
| by June 30, 2027 | 13¢ | 13.0% | +1.0 pts | $10.7K | 0.0% |
| by March 31, 2027 | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $4.2K | 0.0% |
| by December 31, 2026 | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $2.88M | 10.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 28¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$27.32M has been traded on this event in total, $622 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,485 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total-Sash | Yes | 7,485 | $2.0K |
| Downright-Vaccine | No | 6,784 | $5.0K |
| Dental-Chairperson | No | 1,629 | $1.2K |
| Surprised-Instrument | Yes | 726 | $192 |
| Profitable-Attempt | No | 551 | $405 |
| Icky-Glider | Yes | 514 | $136 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 370 | $98 |
| Empty-Addiction | No | 303 | $222 |
| 0x94eeb9d2… | No | 149 | $110 |
| Second-Domain | Yes | 100 | $26 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 01:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 01:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.8% | $30 |
| Oct 23, 03:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 11:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 10:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is by December 31, 2027 at 26.5%. Next is by September 30, 2027 at 18.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k?via=bro
$27.32M in total volume, with $622 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.
by December 31, 2027, priced at 26.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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