As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price by December 31, 2027 at 39.0% in When will Ethereum hit $4k? — $62.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, by December 31, 2027, is priced at 39.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -20.0 pts; past month: -8.0 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, by December 31, 2027 has traded between 27.5% and 75.0%. It opened at 68.5% and last traded at 39.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 39.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 39.0% |
by December 31, 2027 is favored at 39.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by December 31, 2027 | 39¢ | 39.0% | — | $2.4K | 3.8% |
| by September 30, 2027 | 33¢ | 33.0% | -1.5 pts | $18.5K | 29.6% |
| by June 30, 2027 | 20¢ | 19.5% | -2.5 pts | $6.5K | 10.3% |
| by March 31, 2027 | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $10.1K | 16.1% |
| by December 31, 2026 | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $9.4K | 14.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 38¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$62.8K has been traded on this event in total, $98 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $4,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 591 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dental-Chairperson | No | 591 | $361 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 353 | $138 |
| Empty-Addiction | No | 254 | $155 |
| Glistening-Struggle-Pulse | No | 100 | $61 |
| Verifiable-Cheesecake | No | 34 | $21 |
| Strange-Undertaker | Yes | 33 | $13 |
| Grizzled-Activist | Yes | 30 | $12 |
| Moist-Student | Yes | 30 | $12 |
| Welcome-Lily | Yes | 25 | $10 |
| Aggravating-Rainbow | Yes | 25 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 66.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $14 |
| Oct 21, 12:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 12:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 11:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $40 |
| Oct 20, 11:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $47 |
| Oct 20, 07:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is by December 31, 2027 at 39.0%. Next is by September 30, 2027 at 33.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-ethereum-hit-4k?via=bro
$62.8K in total volume, with $98 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
by December 31, 2027, priced at 39.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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