As of October 24, 2026, 06:31 PM ET, Polymarket traders price by December 31, 2027 at 22.0% in When will Ethereum hit $6k? — $17.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, by December 31, 2027, is priced at 22.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, by December 31, 2027 has traded between 19.0% and 36.0%. It opened at 28.0% and last traded at 22.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 22.0% |
by December 31, 2027 is favored at 22.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| by December 31, 2027 | 22¢ | 22.0% | — | $2.2K | 12.8% |
| by September 30, 2027 | 14¢ | 14.0% | -2.5 pts | $3.0K | 17.1% |
| by June 30, 2027 | 6¢ | 5.5% | +0.5 pts | $2.6K | 15.0% |
| by March 31, 2027 | 5¢ | 5.1% | -0.4 pts | $3.1K | 17.8% |
| by December 31, 2026 | 3¢ | 2.8% | — | $6.5K | 37.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 21¢ / ask 23¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$17.3K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) from the creation of this market until 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than $6,000. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ETH/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 453 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Empty-Addiction | No | 453 | $354 |
| Third-Odyssey | Yes | 172 | $38 |
| Nice-Pup | Yes | 166 | $36 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 128 | $28 |
| Unaware-Jackal | No | 108 | $85 |
| Second-Hand-Neighborhood | Yes | 100 | $22 |
| Untried-Outhouse | Yes | 59 | $13 |
| Rewarding-Pantologist | Yes | 54 | $12 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 35 | $27 |
| Judicious-Computer | No | 25 | $20 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:02 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $840 |
| Oct 19, 04:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $195 |
| Oct 17, 08:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 04:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $49 |
| Oct 14, 10:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $48 |
| Oct 14, 05:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.9% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 04:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.4% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 08:43 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 08:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $15 |
| Oct 12, 08:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $19 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is by December 31, 2027 at 22.0%. Next is by September 30, 2027 at 14.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-ethereum-hit-6k?via=bro
$17.3K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
by December 31, 2027, priced at 22.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.