Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 7th-9th at 50.0% in Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? — $27.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $96.
Leading outcome
7th-9th
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +12.5 pts30D −13.5 pts
7th-9th50.0%
10th-12th23.5%
Bid
49¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 07, 2026: 7.5% – 63.5% · Opened at 43.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Category
Movies, Culture, Box Office
Scheduled end
January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$27.5K
Volume (24h)
$96
Liquidity
$6.9K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
7th-9th — 50.0%
Resolution source
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 7th-9th, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +12.5 pts; past month: -13.5 pts.

Since August 07, 2026, 7th-9th has traded between 7.5% and 63.5%. It opened at 43.5% and last traded at 50.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202650.0%
Oct 18, 202651.0%
Oct 19, 202651.5%
Oct 20, 202653.5%
Oct 22, 202654.0%
Oct 23, 202637.5%
Oct 24, 202650.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

7th-9th is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
7th-9th50¢50.0%+12.5 pts$6.9K25.1%
10th-12th24¢23.5%-4.5 pts$10.1K36.5%
Below 15th9¢8.8%-5.5 pts$4521.6%
13th-15th4¢4.0%—$4431.6%
6th or higher4¢3.5%—$9.7K35.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$27.5K has been traded on this event in total, $96 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 295 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No295$147
Helpful-ProductYes270$135
Sticky-Tabernacle-NurseryYes198$99
Belated-GlueNo174$87
Wan-GymnasticsNo168$84
Rowdy-ManagerNo142$71
Triangular-GenreYes80$40
Short-Term-MallYes70$35
Ancient-BlackberryYes58$29
Evil-RowYes41$21

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $162 at 88.2%BUY No — $106 at 95.0%BUY No — $100 at 95.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:25 AM ETYesBUY47.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:25 AM ETNoSELL53.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:24 AM ETNoSELL53.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:00 AM ETYesBUY51.0%$3
Oct 24, 03:10 AM ETYesBUY51.0%$5
Oct 24, 02:54 AM ETYesSELL39.0%$0
Oct 24, 02:54 AM ETYesBUY39.0%$8
Oct 24, 02:54 AM ETYesBUY41.0%$8
Oct 24, 02:40 AM ETNoBUY72.0%$14
Oct 24, 02:39 AM ETYesSELL39.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 7th-9th at 50.0%. Next is 10th-12th at 23.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-2026-rank-among-the-highest-uptspt-domestic-box-office-years-on-record-20260807033449401?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record??

$27.5K in total volume, with $96 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/.

What is the most likely outcome of Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?, according to Polymarket traders?

7th-9th, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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