As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 7th-9th at 50.0% in Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record? — $27.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 7th-9th, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +12.5 pts; past month: -13.5 pts.
Since August 07, 2026, 7th-9th has traded between 7.5% and 63.5%. It opened at 43.5% and last traded at 50.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
7th-9th is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7th-9th | 50¢ | 50.0% | +12.5 pts | $6.9K | 25.1% |
| 10th-12th | 24¢ | 23.5% | -4.5 pts | $10.1K | 36.5% |
| Below 15th | 9¢ | 8.8% | -5.5 pts | $452 | 1.6% |
| 13th-15th | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $443 | 1.6% |
| 6th or higher | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $9.7K | 35.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 49¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$27.5K has been traded on this event in total, $96 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final. 2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank. This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes. This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years. If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 295 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 295 | $147 |
| Helpful-Product | Yes | 270 | $135 |
| Sticky-Tabernacle-Nursery | Yes | 198 | $99 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 174 | $87 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 168 | $84 |
| Rowdy-Manager | No | 142 | $71 |
| Triangular-Genre | Yes | 80 | $40 |
| Short-Term-Mall | Yes | 70 | $35 |
| Ancient-Blackberry | Yes | 58 | $29 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 41 | $21 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 AM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 53.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:54 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 02:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 02:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 7th-9th at 50.0%. Next is 10th-12th at 23.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-2026-rank-among-the-highest-uptspt-domestic-box-office-years-on-record-20260807033449401?via=bro
$27.5K in total volume, with $96 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/.
7th-9th, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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