As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price China at 78.0% in Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? — $1.95M traded so far.
The leading outcome, China, is priced at 78.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +18.5 pts.
Since May 26, 2026, China has traded between 10.5% and 81.0%. It opened at 38.0% and last traded at 78.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 78.0% |
China is favored at 78.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China | 78¢ | 78.0% | -1.5 pts | $331.9K | 17.0% |
| No meeting by December 31 | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $524.6K | 26.9% |
| United States | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.2 pts | $119.8K | 6.1% |
| Other | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.5 pts | $90.8K | 4.7% |
| Gulf country | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.1 pts | $89.7K | 4.6% |
| Russia | 0¢ | 0.3% | -0.1 pts | $138.2K | 7.1% |
| Turkey | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $88.5K | 4.5% |
| Belarus | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $84.0K | 4.3% |
| Finland | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $78.1K | 4.0% |
| Switzerland | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $76.0K | 3.9% |
| Other EU country | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $83.2K | 4.3% |
| South Korea | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $62.9K | 3.2% |
| Japan | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $57.6K | 3.0% |
| Australia | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $63.5K | 3.3% |
| Ukraine | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $60.1K | 3.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 77¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.95M has been traded on this event in total, $7.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 56,510 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 56,510 | $12.4K |
| Distant-Inhibitor | No | 5,200 | $1.1K |
| Ideal-Arch | Yes | 5,086 | $4.0K |
| Fearless-Aggression | Yes | 4,999 | $3.9K |
| Loving-Signify | No | 4,697 | $1.0K |
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 4,028 | $3.1K |
| Short-Term-Criminal | Yes | 4,004 | $3.1K |
| Thrifty-Prostrate | Yes | 3,682 | $2.9K |
| Infinite-War | No | 3,679 | $809 |
| Grumpy-Urn | Yes | 3,508 | $2.7K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 04:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:17 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 01:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 21.6% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 01:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 01:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 01:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 22.4% | $111 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is China at 78.0%. Next is No meeting by December 31 at 16.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-trump-and-putin-meet-next-678?via=bro
$1.95M in total volume, with $7.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
China, priced at 78.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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