As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dune: Messiah at 79.7% in Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250? — $12.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Dune: Messiah, is priced at 79.7%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +8.2 pts; past week: +8.8 pts; past month: +3.8 pts.
Since March 10, 2026, Dune: Messiah has traded between 50.5% and 95.3%. It opened at 63.0% and last traded at 70.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 87.2% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 70.5% |
Dune: Messiah is favored at 79.7%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dune: Messiah | 80¢ | 79.7% | +8.2 pts | $3.2K | 25.0% |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 40¢ | 40.0% | +0.5 pts | $4.7K | 37.1% |
| Michael | 13¢ | 12.6% | -14.1 pts | $660 | 5.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.8K has been traded on this event in total, $53 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named movie is listed on the IMDb Top 250 Movies list by March 31, 2027, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie enters the IMDb Top 250 Movies list. The resolution source for this market will be IMDb (https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution source: https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 638 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unique-Primary | Yes | 638 | $508 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 226 | $46 |
| Bulky-Eavesdropper | No | 187 | $38 |
| Evil-Row | No | 165 | $33 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 112 | $23 |
| Dry-Scorn | Yes | 105 | $84 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | No | 105 | $21 |
| Ample-Instance | Yes | 91 | $73 |
| Dental-Breastplate | Yes | 75 | $60 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 69 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 14.4% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.8% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.7% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 03:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.2% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 04:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 57.9% | $42 |
| Oct 18, 01:05 PM ET | No | SELL | 98.0% | $10 |
| Oct 13, 05:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 12.5% | $7 |
| Oct 09, 02:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.7% | $8 |
| Oct 09, 02:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 06, 12:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $30 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dune: Messiah at 79.7%. Next is Avengers: Doomsday at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-2026-movies-will-make-it-into-the-imdb-top-250?via=bro
$12.8K in total volume, with $53 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.imdb.com/chart/top/.
Dune: Messiah, priced at 79.7% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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