As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Meta at 14.5% in Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026? — $5.8K traded so far.
Meta is favored at 14.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meta | 14¢ | 14.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Amazon | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| DeepSeek | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alibaba | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Moonshot | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| ByteDance | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Meituan | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mistral | 14¢ | 13.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Microsoft | 13¢ | 13.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Z.ai | 13¢ | 13.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Baidu | 13¢ | 13.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| OpenAI | 7¢ | 6.6% | -0.7 pts | $1.6K | 28.1% |
| Anthropic | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $1.4K | 24.9% |
| 5¢ | 4.7% | -0.1 pts | $1.7K | 29.7% | |
| SpaceXAI | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $999 | 17.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 25¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 27¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.8K has been traded on this event in total, $20 of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it has paused or will pause all training of AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full training pause means the company halts all training for its AI models, including pre-training, fine-tuning, and reinforcement learning, across the company. Pauses limited to particular models, training methods, training environments, or teams will not qualify. A full pause of any stated duration qualifies. Continued deployment or serving of existing models does not prevent a pause from qualifying. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity, and must state that all training has been or will be paused. The company must itself attribute the pause, at least in part, to safety, alignment, or security concerns. Statements that describe slowing development, pausing some training, or considering a pause will not qualify. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the pause is actually carried out, is later modified or withdrawn, or training later resumes. … (condensed)
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.7% | $19 |
| Oct 23, 03:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.3% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 02:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.9% | $18 |
| Oct 18, 02:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 12:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.2% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 12:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.2% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 06:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.7% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 12:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.3% | $18 |
| Oct 16, 12:16 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.3% | $18 |
| Oct 16, 12:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.3% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Meta at 14.5%. Next is Amazon at 14.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-ai-labs-announce-a-full-training-pause-in-2026?via=bro
$5.8K in total volume, with $20 traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Meta, priced at 14.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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