As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Frontier Airlines at 7.0% in Which airlines will announce bankruptcy by December 31? — $157.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Frontier Airlines, is priced at 7.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past month: -3.0 pts.
Since May 05, 2026, Frontier Airlines has traded between 4.5% and 34.5%. It opened at 13.0% and last traded at 6.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 6.5% |
Frontier Airlines is favored at 7.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Airlines | 7¢ | 7.0% | +0.5 pts | $37.1K | 23.5% |
| JetBlue | 5¢ | 4.6% | -1.1 pts | $28.4K | 18.0% |
| American Airlines | 4¢ | 3.6% | +0.2 pts | $18.9K | 12.0% |
| Allegiant | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.1 pts | $38.9K | 24.7% |
| Alaska Airlines | 2¢ | 2.5% | — | $34.5K | 21.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$157.8K has been traded on this event in total, $6 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named airline announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents the company. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 698 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idle-Soldier | Yes | 698 | $49 |
| Wordy-Temptress | No | 550 | $512 |
| Miniature-Leprosy | No | 449 | $417 |
| Scared-Cardboard | No | 356 | $331 |
| Compassionate-Lawsuit | No | 238 | $221 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 200 | $14 |
| Poor-Tavern | No | 164 | $153 |
| Good-Natured-Compassion | Yes | 115 | $8 |
| Lean-Attraction | No | 111 | $103 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 101 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.3% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 07:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.7% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 11:38 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $19 |
| Oct 16, 03:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.7% | $112 |
| Oct 16, 03:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.2% | $194 |
| Oct 12, 09:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $8 |
| Oct 11, 10:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $8 |
| Oct 07, 03:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.2% | $325 |
| Oct 05, 11:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 06:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Frontier Airlines at 7.0%. Next is JetBlue at 4.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-airlines-will-announce-bankruptcy-by-december-31?via=bro
$157.8K in total volume, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Frontier Airlines, priced at 7.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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