Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Brian Armstrong - Coinbase at 7.8% in Which CEOs will be out before 2027? — $719.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
8%
A 7.8% price implies roughly a 8-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.2 pts7D −0.2 pts30D +1.6 pts
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase7.8%
Sam Altman - OpenAI5.1%
Bid
5¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
6¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since November 18, 2025: 0.5% – 51.5% · Opened at 47.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Category
Business, AI, Big Tech, Tech, Economy, Finance
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$719.3K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$6.4K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase — 7.8%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Brian Armstrong - Coinbase, is priced at 7.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: +1.6 pts.

Since November 18, 2025, Brian Armstrong - Coinbase has traded between 0.5% and 51.5%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 7.6%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 20268.1%
Oct 16, 20268.0%
Oct 18, 20267.0%
Oct 19, 20267.0%
Oct 20, 20267.0%
Oct 23, 20267.5%
Oct 24, 20267.6%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase is favored at 7.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase8¢7.8%+0.2 pts$85.7K11.9%
Sam Altman - OpenAI5¢5.1%+0.1 pts$100.0K13.9%
Sundar Pichai - Google4¢4.5%—$42.0K5.8%
Andy Jassy - Amazon4¢4.5%-0.2 pts$30.0K4.2%
Dan Clancy - Twitch3¢3.4%—$44.6K6.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$719.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,559 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Strong-DepartureYes2,559$198
Insecure-FireYes1,805$140
john-brownNo1,734$1.6K
Gleeful-CloisterNo1,419$1.3K
Reflecting-JuryNo1,132$1.0K
Cuddly-SeizureYes813$63
Mixed-ScriptureNo805$743
Soft-FlugelhornNo758$699
Remorseful-ButlerNo521$480
Remote-IdentityYes519$40

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $693 at 94.2%SELL No — $634 at 90.5%SELL No — $386 at 93.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 06:04 PM ETNoSELL93.0%$386
Oct 21, 12:12 PM ETNoSELL94.2%$693
Oct 11, 11:20 PM ETYesBUY6.1%$2
Oct 11, 09:56 PM ETYesBUY5.9%$1
Oct 10, 10:42 PM ETYesBUY0.9%$3
Oct 10, 01:55 PM ETNoSELL96.3%$6
Oct 10, 07:22 AM ETYesSELL3.5%$2
Oct 08, 12:47 PM ETNoSELL96.5%$29
Oct 07, 08:05 PM ETNoBUY92.0%$9
Oct 04, 03:07 PM ETYesBUY6.1%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Which CEOs will be out before 2027??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Brian Armstrong - Coinbase at 7.8%. Next is Sam Altman - OpenAI at 5.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-ceos-will-be-out-before-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Which CEOs will be out before 2027??

$719.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Which CEOs will be out before 2027? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Which CEOs will be out before 2027?, according to Polymarket traders?

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase, priced at 7.8% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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