As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Hugh Jackman as Wolverine at 94.0% in Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday? — $205.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Hugh Jackman as Wolverine, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts.
Since April 08, 2026, Hugh Jackman as Wolverine has traded between 66.5% and 95.5%. It opened at 71.5% and last traded at 94.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.0% |
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Jackman as Wolverine | 94¢ | 94.0% | +1.0 pts | $12.0K | 5.8% |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man | 93¢ | 93.2% | +0.5 pts | $14.8K | 7.2% |
| Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool | 88¢ | 87.5% | -2.0 pts | $8.6K | 4.2% |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange | 87¢ | 87.0% | -4.0 pts | $7.7K | 3.7% |
| Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau | 80¢ | 80.5% | -1.5 pts | $8.2K | 4.0% |
| Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop | 79¢ | 79.0% | -0.5 pts | $5.6K | 2.7% |
| Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel | 74¢ | 74.0% | +0.5 pts | $8.0K | 3.9% |
| Benedict Wong as Wong | 74¢ | 73.5% | -4.5 pts | $9.3K | 4.5% |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk | 72¢ | 72.5% | -1.0 pts | $15.5K | 7.6% |
| Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch | 63¢ | 63.0% | +1.0 pts | $5.5K | 2.7% |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts | 58¢ | 58.0% | — | $4.8K | 2.4% |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel | 55¢ | 54.5% | +1.0 pts | $18.4K | 8.9% |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez | 52¢ | 52.5% | +0.5 pts | $3.5K | 1.7% |
| Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $9.6K | 4.7% |
| Tom Holland as Spider-Man | 48¢ | 48.0% | +2.0 pts | $16.3K | 7.9% |
| Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man | 30¢ | 30.0% | — | $11.1K | 5.4% |
| Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine | 18¢ | 18.5% | -4.5 pts | $6.6K | 3.2% |
| Halle Berry as Storm | 14¢ | 14.5% | +1.5 pts | $12.7K | 6.2% |
| Jonathan Majors as Kang | 9¢ | 8.6% | +0.1 pts | $13.5K | 6.6% |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp | 8¢ | 8.0% | -2.5 pts | $6.6K | 3.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$205.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Avengers: Doomsday is a Marvel film scheduled to release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor playing the listed character appears in Avengers: Doomsday. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve upon announcement of casting, regardless of if the film is delayed, cancelled, or otherwise fails to be released. If no casting is announced, this market will resolve upon footage of the domestic theatrical cut of the film. If multiple people are cast for the same role, the listed individual being among the cast list for the relevant character will be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. If no casting is announced and Avengers: Doomsday is definitively cancelled or fails to be released by June 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on official announcements from Marvel or Warner Bros., the domestic theatrical cut of Avengers: Doomsday, or a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 523 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 523 | $492 |
| Sturdy-Valley | Yes | 486 | $457 |
| Quizzical-Accelerant | No | 381 | $23 |
| Definitive-Anticodon | Yes | 323 | $304 |
| Tense-Fort | No | 281 | $17 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 252 | $15 |
| Luxurious-Mathematics | Yes | 250 | $235 |
| Suspicious-Blackbird | Yes | 203 | $191 |
| Vigorous-Pasture | No | 148 | $9 |
| Pleasing-Elm | No | 120 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:15 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 05:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 05:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 44.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 52.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 09:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Hugh Jackman as Wolverine at 94.0%. Next is Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man at 93.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-characters-will-appear-in-avengers-doomsday?via=bro
$205.4K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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