As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price MiniMax at 74.5% in Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November? — $7.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, MiniMax, is priced at 74.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, MiniMax has traded between 69.0% and 78.5%. It opened at 69.0% and last traded at 78.5%.
MiniMax is favored at 74.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MiniMax | 74¢ | 74.5% | +4.0 pts | $2.0K | 26.2% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| 20¢ | 20.4% | -3.8 pts | $876 | 11.2% | |
| SpaceXAI | 5¢ | 4.6% | +1.8 pts | $356 | 4.6% |
| Shengshu | 3¢ | 2.8% | +1.4 pts | $862 | 11.0% |
| Pika | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $339 | 4.3% |
| Tencent | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $322 | 4.1% |
| Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $278 | 3.6% |
| Luma AI | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $282 | 3.6% |
| Pruna | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $282 | 3.6% |
| ByteDance | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $375 | 4.8% |
| Runway | 0¢ | 0.4% | +0.2 pts | $313 | 4.0% |
| Black Forest Labs | 0¢ | 0.3% | +0.1 pts | $284 | 3.6% |
| KlingAI | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $291 | 3.7% |
| Pixverse | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.3 pts | $311 | 4.0% |
| Lightricks | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $291 | 3.7% |
| HiDream | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $302 | 3.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.8K has been traded on this event in total, $192 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 462 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sore-Pitching | Yes | 462 | $345 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 322 | $82 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 67 | $17 |
| All-Calculator | Yes | 60 | $45 |
| Luxurious-Mathematics | Yes | 59 | $44 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 56 | $14 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 45 | $33 |
| Cheery-Hostel | No | 40 | $10 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 30 | $8 |
| Evil-Row | No | 26 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 07:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:14 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.3% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 08:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 06:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $47 |
| Oct 23, 04:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 04:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 23.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.2% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is MiniMax at 74.5%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-image-to-video-ai-end-of-november?via=bro
$7.8K in total volume, with $192 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video.
MiniMax, priced at 74.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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