As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price OpenAI at 68.5% in Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November? — $26.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, OpenAI, is priced at 68.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +22.5 pts; past month: -10.0 pts.
Since September 18, 2026, OpenAI has traded between 61.0% and 89.5%. It opened at 61.0% and last traded at 68.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 68.5% |
OpenAI is favored at 68.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI | 68¢ | 68.5% | -0.5 pts | $19.5K | 73.8% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ByteDance | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.1 pts | $718 | 2.7% |
| Reve | 3¢ | 3.5% | — | $414 | 1.6% |
| 3¢ | 2.9% | — | $616 | 2.3% | |
| SpaceXAI | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.1 pts | $1.4K | 5.2% |
| Microsoft AI | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $552 | 2.1% |
| Tencent | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $849 | 3.2% |
| Ideogram | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.3 pts | $510 | 1.9% |
| Meta | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $378 | 1.4% |
| Black Forest Labs | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $370 | 1.4% |
| Alibaba | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $404 | 1.5% |
| Luma AI | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $362 | 1.4% |
| Recraft | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $369 | 1.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 15¢ (bid 61¢ / ask 76¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$26.4K has been traded on this event in total, $28 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 487 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 487 | $153 |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 393 | $269 |
| Barren-Expectancy | Yes | 193 | $132 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 112 | $35 |
| Uncomfortable-Mercury | Yes | 100 | $68 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 97 | $66 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 88 | $28 |
| Required-Horn | No | 73 | $23 |
| Insidious-Meteor | Yes | 20 | $14 |
| Teeming-Puppet | No | 20 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 01:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 76.0% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 08:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $11 |
| Oct 18, 09:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $148 |
| Oct 17, 01:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 02:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 11:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 78.0% | $29 |
| Oct 15, 11:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 78.0% | $29 |
| Oct 15, 10:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $167 |
| Oct 15, 10:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $44 |
| Oct 15, 10:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is OpenAI at 68.5%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-november?via=bro
$26.4K in total volume, with $28 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image.
OpenAI, priced at 68.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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