Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price OpenAI at 98.0% in Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October? — $44.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.
Leading outcome
OpenAI
98%
A 98.0% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.5 pts7D +8.5 pts30D +6.5 pts
OpenAI98.0%
Other50.0%
Bid
97¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 13, 2026: 63.0% – 98.5% · Opened at 66.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
Category
AI, Tech, AI Rankings, Text-to-Image, Recurring
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Total volume
$44.2K
Volume (24h)
$1
Liquidity
$19.4K
Markets
27
Leading outcome
OpenAI — 98.0%
Resolution source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, OpenAI, is priced at 98.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +8.5 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.

Since August 13, 2026, OpenAI has traded between 63.0% and 98.5%. It opened at 66.0% and last traded at 98.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202689.5%
Oct 18, 202689.5%
Oct 19, 202689.5%
Oct 20, 202695.0%
Oct 22, 202696.8%
Oct 23, 202698.5%
Oct 24, 202698.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

OpenAI is favored at 98.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
OpenAI98¢98.0%-0.5 pts$30.9K69.9%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company G50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company H50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company I50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company J50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company K50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company L50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Company M50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Google1¢1.2%+0.5 pts$2.1K4.7%
Meta1¢0.5%+0.2 pts$1.0K2.3%
Tencent0¢0.4%+0.1 pts$1.1K2.4%
Alibaba0¢0.4%—$9032.0%
Reve0¢0.3%—$8982.0%
SpaceXAI0¢0.3%—$1.2K2.7%
Recraft0¢0.2%—$9882.2%
Microsoft AI0¢0.2%—$1.8K4.1%
Ideogram0¢0.1%—$9062.0%
Luma AI0¢0.1%—$8892.0%
Black Forest Labs0¢0.1%—$9762.2%
ByteDance0¢0.1%—$5981.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$44.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,551 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,551$31
Queasy-AirshipYes1,100$1.1K
Snappy-RoosterNo405$8
Gleaming-HandlebarYes400$392
Watchful-FundYes384$376
Long-Term-OverheadYes286$280
Hideous-RacerNo213$4
Belated-GlueNo167$3
Wiggly-HorizonYes140$137
Straight-WrinkleYes123$121

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $997 at 90.6%BUY No — $229 at 97.6%BUY Yes — $134 at 96.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 08:20 PM ETYesBUY98.9%$1
Oct 23, 02:42 PM ETNoBUY1.9%$0
Oct 23, 02:42 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$5
Oct 23, 02:42 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$5
Oct 23, 02:42 PM ETNoBUY2.0%$1
Oct 23, 02:42 PM ETNoBUY99.0%$49
Oct 23, 02:42 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$49
Oct 22, 08:53 AM ETYesSELL97.7%$71
Oct 22, 08:33 AM ETNoBUY99.0%$17
Oct 22, 08:33 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$18

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is OpenAI at 98.0%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-to-image-ai-end-of-october?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October??

$44.2K in total volume, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.

When does Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image.

What is the most likely outcome of Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?, according to Polymarket traders?

OpenAI, priced at 98.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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