As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Saudi Arabia at 15.5% in Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026? — $684.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Saudi Arabia, is priced at 15.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +8.0 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, Saudi Arabia has traded between 5.5% and 71.0%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 15.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 8.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 9.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 12.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 15.5% |
Saudi Arabia is favored at 15.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 16¢ | 15.5% | +0.5 pts | $1.3K | 0.2% |
| Japan | 14¢ | 14.0% | -0.5 pts | $25.9K | 3.8% |
| Germany | 14¢ | 14.0% | +1.0 pts | $21.3K | 3.1% |
| Portugal | 12¢ | 11.7% | +1.5 pts | $151 | 0.0% |
| Israel | 12¢ | 11.5% | +2.5 pts | $32.4K | 4.7% |
| South Korea | 12¢ | 11.5% | -0.5 pts | $17.4K | 2.5% |
| Venezuela | 8¢ | 7.5% | -1.0 pts | $245 | 0.0% |
| Syria | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $1.5K | 0.2% |
| Italy | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $30.8K | 4.5% |
| Oman | 7¢ | 6.6% | -0.2 pts | $3.6K | 0.5% |
| Ukraine | 6¢ | 6.2% | +0.5 pts | $7.6K | 1.1% |
| India | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $15.4K | 2.3% |
| North Korea | 6¢ | 6.0% | -1.0 pts | $46.4K | 6.8% |
| Russia | 6¢ | 5.9% | -0.9 pts | $13.5K | 2.0% |
| Belarus | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $4.6K | 0.7% |
| Mexico | 5¢ | 5.0% | -0.5 pts | $6.3K | 0.9% |
| Pakistan | 4¢ | 4.5% | — | $8.5K | 1.2% |
| Canada | 4¢ | 3.8% | +0.7 pts | $4.9K | 0.7% |
| Taiwan | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.1 pts | $87.5K | 12.8% |
| Lebanon | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $32.8K | 4.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$684.4K has been traded on this event in total, $978 of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://twitter.com/POTUS
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 206 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 206 | $32 |
| Downright-Website | No | 99 | $83 |
| Messy-Memorial | No | 58 | $49 |
| Hateful-Generation | No | 50 | $42 |
| Cold-Statue | No | 40 | $34 |
| Murky-Cowboy | No | 30 | $25 |
| Defenseless-Haze | Yes | 22 | $3 |
| Our-Dough | No | 22 | $19 |
| Outlandish-Complicity | Yes | 20 | $3 |
| Shocking-Bowl | No | 14 | $12 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 03:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 04:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 11:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.9% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 06:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 09:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $131 |
| Oct 19, 04:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $100 |
| Oct 18, 01:41 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Saudi Arabia at 15.5%. Next is Japan at 14.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-donald-trump-visit-in-2026?via=bro
$684.4K in total volume, with $978 traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://twitter.com/POTUS.
Saudi Arabia, priced at 15.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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