As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ICE at 20.2% in Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by December 31? — $14.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ICE, is priced at 20.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +13.2 pts; past month: +13.8 pts.
Since July 01, 2026, ICE has traded between 3.0% and 41.0%. It opened at 23.5% and last traded at 20.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 20.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 20.1% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 20.2% |
ICE is favored at 20.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE | 20¢ | 20.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.1K | 7.5% |
| ForecastEx | 19¢ | 19.0% | — | $896 | 6.3% |
| CBOE | 15¢ | 15.0% | -0.5 pts | $3.5K | 24.2% |
| Small Exchange | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $4.0K | 27.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 31¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 195 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Playful-Manservant | No | 195 | $156 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 80 | $16 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Speedy-Spine-Rowing | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Motionless-Windshield-Lesson | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Thorny-Acre-News | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Honest-Basil | Yes | 16 | $3 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 7 | $1 |
| Wordy-Doctrine | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| True-Child-Bottling | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 08:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $73 |
| Oct 12, 05:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 05:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 07, 03:52 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 07, 03:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 03:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 07, 02:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 02:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.5% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 09:23 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $17 |
| Oct 07, 09:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is ICE at 20.2%. Next is ForecastEx at 19.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-dcms-self-certify-sports-event-contracts-by-december-31-20260630144618248?via=bro
$14.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
ICE, priced at 20.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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