As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 1w Team at 46.0% in Which Dota 2 Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before 2027? — $3.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 1w Team, is priced at 46.0%.
Since October 20, 2026, 1w Team has traded between 30.0% and 46.0%. It opened at 30.0% and last traded at 46.0%.
1w Team is favored at 46.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1w Team | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $40 | 1.1% |
| GamerLegion | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $80 | 2.3% |
| Aurora Gaming | 46¢ | 46.0% | -0.5 pts | $40 | 1.1% |
| Natus Vincere | 44¢ | 44.5% | +8.0 pts | $514 | 14.7% |
| Xtreme Gaming | 36¢ | 36.5% | +3.5 pts | $502 | 14.4% |
| Team Tidebound | 36¢ | 36.0% | -5.0 pts | $424 | 12.1% |
| LGD Gaming | 34¢ | 33.5% | -5.5 pts | $120 | 3.4% |
| BetBoom Team | 27¢ | 27.0% | -19.0 pts | $80 | 2.3% |
| Team Liquid | 26¢ | 26.0% | -12.5 pts | $162 | 4.6% |
| Yakult Brothers | 26¢ | 26.0% | -28.0 pts | $120 | 3.4% |
| Team Spirit | 22¢ | 21.5% | -14.0 pts | $361 | 10.3% |
| PARIVISION | 14¢ | 14.0% | -16.5 pts | $767 | 22.0% |
| OG | 10¢ | 10.5% | -20.5 pts | $120 | 3.4% |
| Team Yandex | 8¢ | 8.0% | -28.5 pts | $160 | 4.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 36¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 64¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active Dota 2 roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page, https://liquipedia.net/dota2) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, loan, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup, and any return of an inactive player to the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur within this market's timeframe, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. … (condensed)
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 01:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 06:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $12 |
| Oct 21, 09:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 64.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 06:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 06:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.3% | $21 |
| Oct 21, 06:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $24 |
| Oct 21, 05:25 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 03:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 70.0% | $14 |
| Oct 21, 03:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 1w Team at 46.0%. Next is GamerLegion at 46.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-dota-2-teams-will-make-a-roster-change-before-2027-1792421285780?via=bro
$3.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
1w Team, priced at 46.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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