As of October 24, 2026, 06:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price The Odyssey at 83.5% in Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? — $247.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, The Odyssey, is priced at 83.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +2.0 pts.
Since February 02, 2026, The Odyssey has traded between 27.0% and 87.0%. It opened at 38.5% and last traded at 83.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.5% |
The Odyssey is favored at 83.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Odyssey | 84¢ | 83.5% | — | $78.6K | 31.7% |
| Dune: Messiah | 16¢ | 16.4% | +1.6 pts | $119.9K | 48.4% |
| Wild Horse Nine | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $10.6K | 4.3% |
| Project Hail Mary | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.1 pts | $17.8K | 7.2% |
| Disclosure Day | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $6.8K | 2.7% |
| Wuthering Heights | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.2K | 1.3% |
| The Bride! | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $3.1K | 1.2% |
| The Social Reckoning | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $7.6K | 3.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$247.6K has been traded on this event in total, $5.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 22 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film. In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.oscars.org/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 12,061 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 12,061 | $2.0K |
| Ample-Instance | Yes | 9,789 | $8.2K |
| Energetic-Producer | No | 7,705 | $1.3K |
| Offbeat-Menorah | Yes | 6,000 | $5.0K |
| Kooky-Employ | No | 5,555 | $917 |
| Probable-Semicircle | Yes | 1,509 | $1.3K |
| Welcome-Technologist | Yes | 1,220 | $1.0K |
| Upset-Suede | Yes | 1,177 | $983 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,168 | $976 |
| Forsaken-Outhouse | Yes | 1,000 | $835 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 16.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.7% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 12:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is The Odyssey at 83.5%. Next is Dune: Messiah at 16.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-film-will-get-the-most-oscar-nominations-at-the-99th-academy-awards?via=bro
$247.6K in total volume, with $5.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 22 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.oscars.org/.
The Odyssey, priced at 83.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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