As of October 24, 2026, 09:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Apple (AAPL) at 44.0% in Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026? — $43 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Apple (AAPL), is priced at 44.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +6.5 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.
Since August 13, 2026, Apple (AAPL) has traded between 15.0% and 44.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 44.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 44.0% |
Apple (AAPL) is favored at 44.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apple (AAPL) | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $2 | 5.8% |
| Microsoft (MSFT) | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $8 | 18.5% |
| Alphabet (GOOGL) | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $22 | 52.5% |
| Amazon (AMZN) | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $2 | 5.8% |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $2 | 5.8% |
| Meta (META) | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $2 | 5.8% |
| Tesla (TSLA) | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $2 | 5.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 84¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 86¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$43 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the listed company whose stock records the largest single-day percentage move during calendar year 2026. Where a company has multiple publicly traded share classes, only the share class specified by the ticker in the listed group item title will be considered. For each stock, the single-day percentage move for a given trading day is calculated as the absolute value of (Close Price - Prior Close Price) ÷ Prior Close Price. The Prior Close Price for a given trading day is the Close Price for the most recent prior trading day on which the primary exchange held a regular trading session; for the first eligible day of 2026, the Prior Close Price is the Close Price for the final trading day of 2025. Overnight price changes between sessions are therefore included in each day’s move. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, and percentage moves will be calculated to the full precision, without rounding, after applying any corporate action adjustment described below. An eligible day is any day in calendar year 2026 on which the primary exchange for the listed security holds a regular trading session, including scheduled shortened sessions. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 6 | $4 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Nautical-Flute-Spreadsheet | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 08:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $1 |
| Aug 19, 04:40 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $2 |
| Aug 14, 04:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $1 |
| Aug 14, 04:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $1 |
| Aug 14, 04:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $1 |
| Aug 14, 04:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $1 |
| Aug 14, 04:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $1 |
| Aug 14, 04:56 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 83.0% | $1 |
| Aug 14, 03:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Apple (AAPL) at 44.0%. Next is Microsoft (MSFT) at 44.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-mag-7-stock-has-the-biggest-single-day-move-in-2026?via=bro
$43 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols.
Apple (AAPL), priced at 44.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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