Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Apple (AAPL) at 44.0% in Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026? — $43 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Apple (AAPL)
44%
A 44.0% price implies roughly a 44-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +6.5 pts30D +6.5 pts
Apple (AAPL)44.0%
Microsoft (MSFT)44.0%
Bid
2¢
Ask
86¢
Spread
84¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 13, 2026: 15.0% – 44.5% · Opened at 44.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?
Category
Mag7, Tech, mag 7, Stocks, Finance, Big Tech, Equities
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$43
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$584
Markets
7
Leading outcome
Apple (AAPL) — 44.0%
Resolution source
https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Apple (AAPL), is priced at 44.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +6.5 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.

Since August 13, 2026, Apple (AAPL) has traded between 15.0% and 44.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 44.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202637.5%
Oct 16, 202637.5%
Oct 18, 202637.5%
Oct 19, 202637.5%
Oct 20, 202637.5%
Oct 23, 202644.0%
Oct 24, 202644.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Apple (AAPL) is favored at 44.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Apple (AAPL)44¢44.0%—$25.8%
Microsoft (MSFT)44¢44.0%—$818.5%
Alphabet (GOOGL)44¢44.0%—$2252.5%
Amazon (AMZN)44¢44.0%—$25.8%
NVIDIA (NVDA)44¢44.0%—$25.8%
Meta (META)44¢44.0%—$25.8%
Tesla (TSLA)44¢44.0%—$25.8%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 84¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 86¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$43 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the listed company whose stock records the largest single-day percentage move during calendar year 2026. Where a company has multiple publicly traded share classes, only the share class specified by the ticker in the listed group item title will be considered. For each stock, the single-day percentage move for a given trading day is calculated as the absolute value of (Close Price - Prior Close Price) ÷ Prior Close Price. The Prior Close Price for a given trading day is the Close Price for the most recent prior trading day on which the primary exchange held a regular trading session; for the first eligible day of 2026, the Prior Close Price is the Close Price for the final trading day of 2025. Overnight price changes between sessions are therefore included in each day’s move. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, and percentage moves will be calculated to the full precision, without rounding, after applying any corporate action adjustment described below. An eligible day is any day in calendar year 2026 on which the primary exchange for the listed security holds a regular trading session, including scheduled shortened sessions. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No6$4
Belated-GlueYes5$2
Nautical-Flute-SpreadsheetYes1$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $16 at 80.0%BUY Yes — $2 at 74.0%BUY No — $1 at 96.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 08:33 PM ETNoSELL27.0%$1
Aug 19, 04:40 AM ETYesBUY74.0%$2
Aug 14, 04:56 AM ETNoBUY94.0%$1
Aug 14, 04:56 AM ETYesBUY79.0%$1
Aug 14, 04:56 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$1
Aug 14, 04:56 AM ETNoBUY96.0%$1
Aug 14, 04:56 AM ETNoBUY94.0%$1
Aug 14, 04:56 AM ETYesBUY83.0%$1
Aug 14, 03:41 AM ETNoBUY80.0%$16

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is Apple (AAPL) at 44.0%. Next is Microsoft (MSFT) at 44.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-mag-7-stock-has-the-biggest-single-day-move-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026??

$43 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.

When does Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pyth.dourolabs.app/v1/symbols.

What is the most likely outcome of Which Mag 7 Stock Has the Biggest Single-Day Move in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

Apple (AAPL), priced at 44.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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