As of October 24, 2026, 08:11 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ra'am at 95.2% in Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? — $24.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Ra'am, is priced at 95.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: -0.2 pts; past month: +6.5 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Ra'am has traded between 80.4% and 96.4%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 95.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.5% |
Ra'am is favored at 95.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ra'am | 95¢ | 95.2% | -0.4 pts | $1.1K | 4.4% |
| RZP-Zehut | 92¢ | 91.5% | — | $5.6K | 23.4% |
| Amcha Yisrael | 31¢ | 31.0% | -4.0 pts | $7.1K | 29.4% |
| Reservists and New Economic Party | 31¢ | 31.0% | -7.0 pts | $8.3K | 34.6% |
| Blue & White | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $2.0K | 8.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$24.1K has been traded on this event in total, $308 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Resolution source: https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 210 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 210 | $200 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 206 | $196 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 197 | $10 |
| Known-Use | No | 87 | $4 |
| Deadly-Halibut | Yes | 52 | $49 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 52 | $3 |
| Queasy-Cougar | No | 45 | $2 |
| Irresponsible-Chord-Hunter | No | 39 | $2 |
| Experienced-Surface | No | 37 | $2 |
| Loyal-Quartet | No | 37 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 05:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.7% | $36 |
| Oct 24, 04:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.5% | $40 |
| Oct 24, 02:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 09:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.1% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 04:35 AM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 01:34 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 01:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.6% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ra'am at 95.2%. Next is RZP-Zehut at 91.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-win-a-seat-in-the-2026-knesset-elections?via=bro
$24.1K in total volume, with $308 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page.
Ra'am, priced at 95.2% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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