As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Democratic Party at 73.5% in Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms? — $10.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Democratic Party, is priced at 73.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +7.0 pts; past month: +1.5 pts.
Since August 18, 2026, Democratic Party has traded between 37.5% and 75.5%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 73.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.5% |
Democratic Party is favored at 73.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 74¢ | 73.5% | -2.0 pts | $5.0K | 50.0% |
| Republican Party | 16¢ | 16.5% | +0.5 pts | $3.9K | 38.3% |
| Tie | 9¢ | 9.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.2K | 11.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.1K has been traded on this event in total, $598 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 405 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 405 | $107 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 250 | $184 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 220 | $58 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 184 | $135 |
| Worthy-Teen | Yes | 100 | $74 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 86 | $23 |
| Mountainous-Felony | Yes | 60 | $44 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 51 | $13 |
| Powerless-Bijou | Yes | 39 | $29 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 39 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $33 |
| Oct 24, 02:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 01:40 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 11:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 09:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 09:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 08:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 69.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Democratic Party at 73.5%. Next is Republican Party at 16.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-hold-more-governorships-after-the-midterms?via=bro
$10.1K in total volume, with $598 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Democratic Party, priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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