As of October 24, 2026, 08:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Democratic Party at 93.5% in Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026? — $5.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Democratic Party, is priced at 93.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.0 pts; past month: +5.5 pts.
Since September 10, 2026, Democratic Party has traded between 56.5% and 94.0%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 93.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.5% |
Democratic Party is favored at 93.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 94¢ | 93.5% | — | $3.2K | 60.1% |
| Party A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Party F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Republican Party | 6¢ | 5.9% | — | $2.2K | 39.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 92¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Maine State Senate in the 2026 Maine midterm election. A party wins control of the Maine Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated. If no President of the State Senate is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber. All regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the following State Senate and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 580 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 580 | $38 |
| Liquid-Argument | Yes | 461 | $431 |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 219 | $204 |
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 160 | $150 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 136 | $9 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 121 | $113 |
| Attentive-Crewman | No | 120 | $8 |
| Required-Horn | No | 71 | $5 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 66 | $4 |
| Beautiful-Bead | Yes | 46 | $43 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 06:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 06:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 07:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 07:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 07:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 07:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.2% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 07:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 07:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.0% | $19 |
| Oct 19, 07:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $4 |
| Oct 19, 06:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.7% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Democratic Party at 93.5%. Next is Party A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-maine-state-senate-in-2026?via=bro
$5.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Democratic Party, priced at 93.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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