As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Republicans at 94.0% in Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election? — $8.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Republicans, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: +4.5 pts.
Since October 06, 2026, Republicans has traded between 86.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 94.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.0% |
Republicans is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republicans | 94¢ | 94.0% | +5.0 pts | $5.8K | 69.6% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Democrats | 3¢ | 3.5% | -4.5 pts | $2.6K | 30.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.4K has been traded on this event in total, $2.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the exit polling for the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,444 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Submissive-Clan | Yes | 1,444 | $1.4K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 568 | $34 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark | No | 411 | $25 |
| Liquid-Argument | Yes | 328 | $308 |
| Known-Use | No | 198 | $12 |
| Shameless-Workout-Orchard | No | 155 | $9 |
| Silent-Rowboat | Yes | 136 | $127 |
| Velvety-Burn | No | 98 | $6 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 90 | $5 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 82 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 02:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 93.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:11 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 10:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.8% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.2% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 09:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.6% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Republicans at 94.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-white-voters-in-the-texas-senate?via=bro
$8.4K in total volume, with $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Republicans, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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