Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Republicans at 94.0% in Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election? — $8.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.8K.
Leading outcome
Republicans
94%
A 94.0% price implies roughly a 94-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +5.0 pts7D +4.5 pts
Republicans94.0%
Candidate A50.0%
Bid
93¢
Ask
95¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since October 06, 2026: 86.0% – 94.5% · Opened at 86.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?
Category
Polling, Midterms, Politics
Scheduled end
November 06, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$8.4K
Volume (24h)
$2.8K
Liquidity
$67.4K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
Republicans — 94.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Republicans, is priced at 94.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: +4.5 pts.

Since October 06, 2026, Republicans has traded between 86.0% and 94.5%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 94.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202689.5%
Oct 16, 202689.5%
Oct 18, 202689.5%
Oct 19, 202689.5%
Oct 20, 202689.0%
Oct 23, 202689.0%
Oct 24, 202694.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Republicans is favored at 94.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Republicans94¢94.0%+5.0 pts$5.8K69.6%
Candidate A50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Candidate C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Democrats3¢3.5%-4.5 pts$2.6K30.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 93¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$8.4K has been traded on this event in total, $2.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the exit polling for the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,444 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Submissive-ClanYes1,444$1.4K
0xa5ef39c3…No568$34
Wide-Eyed-DarkNo411$25
Liquid-ArgumentYes328$308
Known-UseNo198$12
Shameless-Workout-OrchardNo155$9
Silent-RowboatYes136$127
Velvety-BurnNo98$6
Grim-GarageNo90$5
Stale-CashewNo82$5

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $1.3K at 90.5%BUY Yes — $372 at 93.0%BUY No — $208 at 92.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:34 PM ETNoSELL5.0%$0
Oct 24, 02:46 PM ETNoSELL5.0%$2
Oct 24, 12:11 PM ETYesSELL93.0%$5
Oct 24, 12:11 PM ETYesSELL2.5%$0
Oct 24, 12:04 PM ETNoSELL5.0%$0
Oct 24, 10:07 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Oct 24, 09:57 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Oct 24, 09:57 AM ETNoBUY96.8%$15
Oct 24, 09:57 AM ETYesSELL4.2%$2
Oct 24, 09:54 AM ETYesSELL4.6%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Republicans at 94.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-white-voters-in-the-texas-senate?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election??

$8.4K in total volume, with $2.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Which party will win white voters in the Texas Senate election?, according to Polymarket traders?

Republicans, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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