As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Democrats at 85.0% in Which party will win young men in the midterms? — $6.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Democrats, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Democrats has traded between 11.5% and 89.5%. It opened at 71.0% and last traded at 85.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.0% |
Democrats is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrats | 85¢ | 85.0% | — | $4.2K | 69.7% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Republicans | 14¢ | 13.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.8K | 30.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 84¢ / ask 86¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of men in the age range of 18-24 in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event that CNN does not provide numbers for men in the 18-24 age range, this market will resolve based on the narrowest age range that begins with the youngest age for which data is available. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by cbsnews.com or, should cbsnews.com also not provide applicable polling, foxnews.com. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,004 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Heartthrob | Yes | 1,004 | $854 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 526 | $79 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 446 | $379 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 298 | $45 |
| Cooperative-Gasket | No | 200 | $30 |
| Known-Use | No | 109 | $16 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 90 | $14 |
| Disastrous-Bend | No | 85 | $13 |
| Sardonic-Caper | No | 60 | $9 |
| Evil-Row | No | 40 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 05:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.0% | $17 |
| Oct 13, 08:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 09:19 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 12:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 11:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 05:42 AM ET | No | SELL | 15.0% | $24 |
| Oct 10, 05:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $65 |
| Oct 10, 05:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $17 |
| Oct 10, 05:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $6 |
| Oct 10, 05:42 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $17 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Democrats at 85.0%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-young-men-in-the-midterms?via=bro
$6.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 06, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.
Democrats, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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