As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Meteor at 99.5% in Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026? — $5.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Meteor, is priced at 99.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +85.0 pts; past month: +73.5 pts.
Since August 06, 2026, Meteor has traded between 9.0% and 99.5%. It opened at 26.0% and last traded at 99.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 26.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 11.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 9.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.5% |
Meteor is favored at 99.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meteor | 100¢ | 99.5% | — | $777 | 13.6% |
| Demon1 | 96¢ | 96.5% | — | $934 | 16.3% |
| Sato | 87¢ | 87.0% | -8.9 pts | $228 | 4.0% |
| Primmie | 75¢ | 75.0% | -0.5 pts | $329 | 5.7% |
| valyn | 74¢ | 74.2% | -0.1 pts | $100 | 1.7% |
| Jinggg | 74¢ | 74.0% | +24.0 pts | $86 | 1.5% |
| Jawgemo | 74¢ | 74.0% | — | $220 | 3.8% |
| kiNgg | 74¢ | 73.5% | — | $210 | 3.7% |
| D4v41 | 51¢ | 51.0% | +37.5 pts | $40 | 0.7% |
| brawk | 46¢ | 46.5% | +10.0 pts | $148 | 2.6% |
| invy | 36¢ | 36.0% | +7.5 pts | $306 | 5.4% |
| Jemkin | 34¢ | 33.5% | -1.5 pts | $688 | 12.0% |
| Cryocells | 28¢ | 27.5% | — | $85 | 1.5% |
| BuZz | 26¢ | 26.5% | +1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| trent | 26¢ | 25.7% | +12.2 pts | $65 | 1.1% |
| Asuna | 26¢ | 25.5% | +14.0 pts | $261 | 4.6% |
| leaf | 26¢ | 25.5% | +13.5 pts | $576 | 10.1% |
| Skuba | 20¢ | 20.0% | -6.5 pts | $139 | 2.4% |
| f0rsaken | 16¢ | 16.0% | +5.0 pts | $291 | 5.1% |
| something | 14¢ | 14.0% | -11.5 pts | $236 | 4.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.7K has been traded on this event in total, $110 of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count. The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution. A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://liquipedia.net/valorant
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 175 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tragic-Member | Yes | 175 | $174 |
| Medium-Cufflink-Freon | Yes | 123 | $123 |
| Different-Windshield | Yes | 116 | $116 |
| JonnyA | No | 110 | $1 |
| Cool-Pattypan | No | 100 | $0 |
| Flaky-Provision | Yes | 70 | $70 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 55 | $0 |
| Good-Gram-Prostacyclin | No | 50 | $0 |
| Remote-Statue-Loaf | No | 41 | $0 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 20 | $20 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 03:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 99.1% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 09:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 94.6% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 09:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.6% | $47 |
| Oct 22, 09:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.3% | $209 |
| Oct 22, 09:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.8% | $22 |
| Oct 22, 09:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.5% | $114 |
| Oct 22, 02:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 04:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 97.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $14 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Meteor at 99.5%. Next is Demon1 at 96.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-players-will-leave-their-team-in-2026-20260805220300453?via=bro
$5.7K in total volume, with $110 traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://liquipedia.net/valorant.
Meteor, priced at 99.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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