Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Meteor at 99.5% in Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026? — $5.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $110.
Leading outcome
Meteor
100%
A 99.5% price implies roughly a 100-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +85.0 pts30D +73.5 pts
Meteor99.5%
Demon196.5%
Bid
99¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 06, 2026: 9.0% – 99.5% · Opened at 26.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026?
Category
val, Sports, Esports, Valorant, Roster changes
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$5.7K
Volume (24h)
$110
Liquidity
$1.0K
Markets
20
Leading outcome
Meteor — 99.5%
Resolution source
https://liquipedia.net/valorant

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Meteor, is priced at 99.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +85.0 pts; past month: +73.5 pts.

Since August 06, 2026, Meteor has traded between 9.0% and 99.5%. It opened at 26.0% and last traded at 99.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202626.5%
Oct 16, 202614.0%
Oct 18, 202611.0%
Oct 19, 202611.5%
Oct 20, 20269.0%
Oct 22, 202666.0%
Oct 23, 202699.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Meteor is favored at 99.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Meteor100¢99.5%—$77713.6%
Demon196¢96.5%—$93416.3%
Sato87¢87.0%-8.9 pts$2284.0%
Primmie75¢75.0%-0.5 pts$3295.7%
valyn74¢74.2%-0.1 pts$1001.7%
Jinggg74¢74.0%+24.0 pts$861.5%
Jawgemo74¢74.0%—$2203.8%
kiNgg74¢73.5%—$2103.7%
D4v4151¢51.0%+37.5 pts$400.7%
brawk46¢46.5%+10.0 pts$1482.6%
invy36¢36.0%+7.5 pts$3065.4%
Jemkin34¢33.5%-1.5 pts$68812.0%
Cryocells28¢27.5%—$851.5%
BuZz26¢26.5%+1.0 pts$00.0%
trent26¢25.7%+12.2 pts$651.1%
Asuna26¢25.5%+14.0 pts$2614.6%
leaf26¢25.5%+13.5 pts$57610.1%
Skuba20¢20.0%-6.5 pts$1392.4%
f0rsaken16¢16.0%+5.0 pts$2915.1%
something14¢14.0%-11.5 pts$2364.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 99¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$5.7K has been traded on this event in total, $110 of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count. The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution. A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://liquipedia.net/valorant

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 175 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Tragic-MemberYes175$174
Medium-Cufflink-FreonYes123$123
Different-WindshieldYes116$116
JonnyANo110$1
Cool-PattypanNo100$0
Flaky-ProvisionYes70$70
Quizzical-HireNo55$0
Good-Gram-ProstacyclinNo50$0
Remote-Statue-LoafNo41$0
Belated-GlueYes20$20

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $209 at 88.3%BUY Yes — $114 at 98.5%SELL No — $75 at 42.5%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 03:21 AM ETYesSELL99.1%$2
Oct 22, 09:12 PM ETYesBUY94.6%$19
Oct 22, 09:12 PM ETYesBUY91.6%$47
Oct 22, 09:11 PM ETYesBUY88.3%$209
Oct 22, 09:11 PM ETYesBUY91.8%$22
Oct 22, 09:07 PM ETYesBUY98.5%$114
Oct 22, 02:49 PM ETYesBUY88.0%$5
Oct 21, 04:36 PM ETYesBUY97.0%$2
Oct 21, 12:18 PM ETYesBUY42.0%$8
Oct 21, 12:18 PM ETYesBUY28.0%$14

Related markets

More Esports

LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 100.0% · 24H VOL $323.6K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Meteor at 99.5%. Next is Demon1 at 96.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-players-will-leave-their-team-in-2026-20260805220300453?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026??

$5.7K in total volume, with $110 traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.

When does Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://liquipedia.net/valorant.

What is the most likely outcome of Which Players Will Leave Their Team in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

Meteor, priced at 99.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.