As of October 24, 2026, 08:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Olivier Giroud at 72.0% in Which players will retire before 1 July 2027? — $3.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Olivier Giroud, is priced at 72.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.0 pts; past month: +22.0 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Olivier Giroud has traded between 18.5% and 72.0%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 72.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 72.0% |
Olivier Giroud is favored at 72.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivier Giroud | 72¢ | 72.0% | — | $274 | 8.0% |
| Manuel Neuer | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $950 | 27.8% |
| Luka Modric | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $96 | 2.8% |
| Thomas Muller | 50¢ | 50.1% | -0.1 pts | $61 | 1.8% |
| Angel Di Maria | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $29 | 0.8% |
| Edin Dzeko | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $15 | 0.5% |
| Wojciech Szczesny | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $48 | 1.4% |
| James Rodriguez | 50¢ | 49.5% | +0.5 pts | $33 | 1.0% |
| Robert Lewandowski | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $181 | 5.3% |
| Karim Benzema | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $21 | 0.6% |
| Luis Suarez | 30¢ | 30.5% | — | $533 | 15.6% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 29¢ | 29.0% | — | $96 | 2.8% |
| Ivan Perisic | 18¢ | 18.0% | — | $54 | 1.6% |
| Marco Reus | 17¢ | 17.3% | +0.1 pts | $211 | 6.2% |
| Lionel Messi | 10¢ | 9.8% | -1.9 pts | $816 | 23.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 36¢ (bid 54¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 15 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player announces his retirement from professional football on or before June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that the player is retiring from professional club football, and must come from the player himself, his official representatives, or his club. Retirement from international football alone does not qualify. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or before the start of the next club season following the announcement. A player who is without a club but has not announced his retirement has not retired for the purposes of this market. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the player or his club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 200 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thorough-Neighbourhood | Yes | 200 | $144 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 90 | $25 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 87 | $24 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 20 | $6 |
| Helpful-Examination | Yes | 6 | $4 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 5 | $2 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 5 | $4 |
| Joyous-Surface | No | 5 | $1 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 2 | $1 |
| Unselfish-Bonus | No | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 01:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 01:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.5% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 11:14 AM ET | No | SELL | 36.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 11:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.1% | $19 |
| Oct 18, 01:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.8% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 02:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $11 |
| Oct 15, 12:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 57.8% | $57 |
| Oct 13, 11:10 PM ET | No | SELL | 28.0% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 11:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 28.0% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 73.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Olivier Giroud at 72.0%. Next is Manuel Neuer at 51.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-players-will-retire-before-1-july-2027?via=bro
$3.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 15 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Olivier Giroud, priced at 72.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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