As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Michigan at 98.2% in Which states will Trump visit before the midterms? — $28.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Michigan, is priced at 98.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.4 pts.
Since September 29, 2026, Michigan has traded between 30.0% and 98.6%. It opened at 30.0% and last traded at 98.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.2% |
Michigan is favored at 98.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 98¢ | 98.2% | -0.1 pts | $2.1K | 7.4% |
| Oregon | 41¢ | 41.0% | -8.0 pts | $573 | 2.0% |
| Maine | 40¢ | 40.5% | +8.5 pts | $1.3K | 4.6% |
| Wisconsin | 39¢ | 39.0% | -1.0 pts | $2.9K | 10.3% |
| New Hampshire | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $3.1K | 10.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$28.3K has been traded on this event in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump visits the listed US state between market creation and November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 894 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unripe-Whisker | Yes | 894 | $877 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 500 | $9 |
| Peppery-Capital | Yes | 396 | $389 |
| Aggravating-Heartwood | No | 198 | $4 |
| Required-Horn | No | 90 | $2 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 64 | $1 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 61 | $1 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 60 | $1 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | No | 50 | $1 |
| Better-Browsing | No | 50 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 59.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 10:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 10:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $27 |
| Oct 23, 11:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 01:25 AM ET | No | SELL | 61.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 01:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 61.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 12:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 57.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 12:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 43.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Michigan at 98.2%. Next is Oregon at 41.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-donald-trump-visit-before-the-midterms?via=bro
$28.3K in total volume, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Michigan, priced at 98.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.