As of October 24, 2026, 06:26 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Florida at 98.5% in Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms? — $441.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Florida, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -0.1 pts.
Since April 30, 2026, Florida has traded between 50.0% and 98.7%. It opened at 65.5% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.5% |
Florida is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 98¢ | 98.5% | -0.1 pts | $7.3K | 1.7% |
| California | 98¢ | 98.0% | +0.2 pts | $17.5K | 4.0% |
| North Carolina | 97¢ | 97.5% | +0.2 pts | $15.7K | 3.6% |
| Texas | 97¢ | 97.4% | +0.1 pts | $21.6K | 4.9% |
| Ohio | 97¢ | 97.4% | +0.4 pts | $8.3K | 1.9% |
| Louisiana | 96¢ | 95.5% | — | $24.1K | 5.5% |
| Utah | 94¢ | 94.0% | +0.5 pts | $96.6K | 21.9% |
| Alabama | 67¢ | 67.0% | +20.0 pts | $20.0K | 4.5% |
| New York | 5¢ | 4.8% | -0.1 pts | $21.9K | 5.0% |
| Missouri | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.2 pts | $15.9K | 3.6% |
| Kansas | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.6 pts | $9.1K | 2.1% |
| New Jersey | 4¢ | 3.5% | +0.1 pts | $6.5K | 1.5% |
| Maryland | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.2 pts | $16.6K | 3.8% |
| South Carolina | 3¢ | 3.0% | +0.1 pts | $29.4K | 6.7% |
| Georgia | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.4 pts | $9.1K | 2.1% |
| Wisconsin | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.2 pts | $24.1K | 5.5% |
| Nebraska | 3¢ | 2.7% | -0.3 pts | $7.9K | 1.8% |
| Washington | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.2 pts | $11.9K | 2.7% |
| Minnesota | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.1 pts | $16.8K | 3.8% |
| Indiana | 2¢ | 2.5% | -2.1 pts | $35.9K | 8.1% |
| Illinois | 2¢ | 2.2% | -0.1 pts | $12.3K | 2.8% |
| Virginia | 2¢ | 2.1% | +0.9 pts | $12.8K | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$441.0K has been traded on this event in total, $2.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 24 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,853 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Heartthrob | Yes | 1,853 | $1.8K |
| Little-Gold | No | 616 | $10 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 385 | $6 |
| Misguided-Click | No | 267 | $4 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 264 | $4 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 116 | $2 |
| Creamy-Geology | No | 113 | $2 |
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 70 | $69 |
| Pleasing-Elm | No | 63 | $1 |
| Grim-Garage | No | 55 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.2% | $108 |
| Oct 24, 03:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $336 |
| Oct 24, 03:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $43 |
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $419 |
| Oct 24, 03:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $146 |
| Oct 23, 03:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Florida at 98.5%. Next is California at 98.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-states-will-use-new-congressional-maps-in-the-midterms?via=bro
$441.0K in total volume, with $2.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 24 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Florida, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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