Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:04 PM ET, Polymarket traders price NONGSHIM RED FORCE at 98.5% in Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December? — $31.8K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $93.
Leading outcome
NONGSHIM RED FORCE
98%
A 98.5% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.4 pts30D +15.4 pts
NONGSHIM RED FORCE98.5%
kt Rolster96.5%
Bid
97¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 06, 2026: 28.0% – 98.9% · Opened at 61.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?
Category
lol, Sports, Esports, league of legends
Scheduled end
November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$31.8K
Volume (24h)
$93
Liquidity
$5.2K
Markets
40
Leading outcome
NONGSHIM RED FORCE — 98.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, NONGSHIM RED FORCE, is priced at 98.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts; past month: +15.4 pts.

Since August 06, 2026, NONGSHIM RED FORCE has traded between 28.0% and 98.9%. It opened at 61.5% and last traded at 98.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202698.9%
Oct 18, 202698.9%
Oct 19, 202698.9%
Oct 20, 202694.7%
Oct 22, 202698.0%
Oct 23, 202698.5%
Oct 24, 202698.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

NONGSHIM RED FORCE is favored at 98.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
NONGSHIM RED FORCE98¢98.5%—$1.7K5.4%
kt Rolster97¢96.5%—$8122.6%
Team Heretics95¢95.0%—$8092.5%
BNK FEARX95¢95.0%+1.4 pts$4661.5%
KIWOOM DRX93¢92.8%-0.2 pts$6482.0%
GIANTX90¢90.0%—$1.5K4.6%
DN SOOPers90¢89.5%-3.5 pts$1.3K4.2%
TOP ESPORTS89¢89.2%+0.3 pts$3751.2%
Fnatic88¢87.7%—$9663.0%
Cloud987¢87.0%-1.5 pts$2830.9%
EDWARD GAMING86¢85.5%-1.0 pts$700.2%
Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS86¢85.5%—$7022.2%
Suzhou LNG Esports83¢83.0%-0.5 pts$4251.3%
Team Vitality82¢82.0%—$1280.4%
WeiboGaming79¢79.0%—$6302.0%
LEVIATÁN74¢74.5%—$1450.5%
SK Gaming74¢74.0%—$2110.7%
Disguised74¢73.5%—$400.1%
LGD GAMING70¢69.5%—$400.1%
THUNDER TALK GAMING70¢69.5%+19.5 pts$3981.3%
Invictus Gaming70¢69.5%—$7402.3%
Xi'an Team WE66¢66.0%+0.5 pts$6111.9%
Movistar KOI64¢63.5%—$1.7K5.2%
FURIA62¢62.5%+13.5 pts$600.2%
FlyQuest60¢60.0%-4.0 pts$3211.0%
Gen.G Esports55¢55.0%-7.0 pts$1.6K5.2%
LØS50¢50.5%+0.5 pts$2150.7%
T144¢44.0%—$1.7K5.4%
Hanwha Life Esports40¢40.5%-15.0 pts$3.1K9.7%
Sentinels32¢31.5%+4.0 pts$1.7K5.4%
Shopify Rebellion26¢26.5%—$620.2%
Team Liquid26¢26.5%—$800.3%
Fluxo W7M26¢26.5%—$70.0%
LOUD26¢26.5%—$400.1%
G2 Esports26¢25.5%—$3931.2%
Dplus KIA24¢24.0%—$3991.3%
Karmine Corp21¢21.0%—$330.1%
Natus Vincere19¢19.0%-7.0 pts$1610.5%
Anyone's Legend16¢16.5%—$3931.2%
HANJIN BRION15¢15.0%-10.0 pts$2300.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$31.8K has been traded on this event in total, $93 of it in the last 24 hours, across 40 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 388 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Frail-GrannyYes388$382
Big-Hearted-ScoreYes256$252
Belated-GlueNo174$3
Cool-PattypanNo125$2
Quizzical-HireNo110$2
Bouncy-SavingNo80$1
Snappy-RoosterNo55$1
Angelic-CrawNo40$1
Known-UseNo20$0
0x645ff613…No20$0

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $237 at 79.3%BUY Yes — $199 at 36.3%BUY Yes — $143 at 58.2%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 07:49 PM ETNoSELL26.0%$0
Oct 23, 07:47 PM ETYesBUY74.0%$15
Oct 23, 07:47 PM ETYesBUY73.0%$15
Oct 23, 07:27 PM ETYesBUY73.0%$15
Oct 23, 07:24 PM ETNoBUY15.0%$5
Oct 22, 11:40 PM ETYesSELL97.4%$71
Oct 22, 10:56 PM ETNoBUY54.0%$11
Oct 22, 10:56 PM ETNoBUY55.0%$11
Oct 22, 10:46 AM ETYesBUY49.0%$20
Oct 22, 10:46 AM ETYesBUY42.0%$25

Related markets

More Esports

LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors 100.0% · 24H VOL $323.6K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is NONGSHIM RED FORCE at 98.5%. Next is kt Rolster at 96.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-teams-will-make-a-roster-change-before-december-20260806154016844?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December??

$31.8K in total volume, with $93 traded in the last 24 hours across 40 markets.

When does Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December?, according to Polymarket traders?

NONGSHIM RED FORCE, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.