As of October 24, 2026, 08:04 PM ET, Polymarket traders price NONGSHIM RED FORCE at 98.5% in Which Teams Will Make a Roster Change Before December? — $31.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, NONGSHIM RED FORCE, is priced at 98.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts; past month: +15.4 pts.
Since August 06, 2026, NONGSHIM RED FORCE has traded between 28.0% and 98.9%. It opened at 61.5% and last traded at 98.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 98.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.5% |
NONGSHIM RED FORCE is favored at 98.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NONGSHIM RED FORCE | 98¢ | 98.5% | — | $1.7K | 5.4% |
| kt Rolster | 97¢ | 96.5% | — | $812 | 2.6% |
| Team Heretics | 95¢ | 95.0% | — | $809 | 2.5% |
| BNK FEARX | 95¢ | 95.0% | +1.4 pts | $466 | 1.5% |
| KIWOOM DRX | 93¢ | 92.8% | -0.2 pts | $648 | 2.0% |
| GIANTX | 90¢ | 90.0% | — | $1.5K | 4.6% |
| DN SOOPers | 90¢ | 89.5% | -3.5 pts | $1.3K | 4.2% |
| TOP ESPORTS | 89¢ | 89.2% | +0.3 pts | $375 | 1.2% |
| Fnatic | 88¢ | 87.7% | — | $966 | 3.0% |
| Cloud9 | 87¢ | 87.0% | -1.5 pts | $283 | 0.9% |
| EDWARD GAMING | 86¢ | 85.5% | -1.0 pts | $70 | 0.2% |
| Shenzhen NINJAS IN PYJAMAS | 86¢ | 85.5% | — | $702 | 2.2% |
| Suzhou LNG Esports | 83¢ | 83.0% | -0.5 pts | $425 | 1.3% |
| Team Vitality | 82¢ | 82.0% | — | $128 | 0.4% |
| WeiboGaming | 79¢ | 79.0% | — | $630 | 2.0% |
| LEVIATÁN | 74¢ | 74.5% | — | $145 | 0.5% |
| SK Gaming | 74¢ | 74.0% | — | $211 | 0.7% |
| Disguised | 74¢ | 73.5% | — | $40 | 0.1% |
| LGD GAMING | 70¢ | 69.5% | — | $40 | 0.1% |
| THUNDER TALK GAMING | 70¢ | 69.5% | +19.5 pts | $398 | 1.3% |
| Invictus Gaming | 70¢ | 69.5% | — | $740 | 2.3% |
| Xi'an Team WE | 66¢ | 66.0% | +0.5 pts | $611 | 1.9% |
| Movistar KOI | 64¢ | 63.5% | — | $1.7K | 5.2% |
| FURIA | 62¢ | 62.5% | +13.5 pts | $60 | 0.2% |
| FlyQuest | 60¢ | 60.0% | -4.0 pts | $321 | 1.0% |
| Gen.G Esports | 55¢ | 55.0% | -7.0 pts | $1.6K | 5.2% |
| LØS | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $215 | 0.7% |
| T1 | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $1.7K | 5.4% |
| Hanwha Life Esports | 40¢ | 40.5% | -15.0 pts | $3.1K | 9.7% |
| Sentinels | 32¢ | 31.5% | +4.0 pts | $1.7K | 5.4% |
| Shopify Rebellion | 26¢ | 26.5% | — | $62 | 0.2% |
| Team Liquid | 26¢ | 26.5% | — | $80 | 0.3% |
| Fluxo W7M | 26¢ | 26.5% | — | $7 | 0.0% |
| LOUD | 26¢ | 26.5% | — | $40 | 0.1% |
| G2 Esports | 26¢ | 25.5% | — | $393 | 1.2% |
| Dplus KIA | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $399 | 1.3% |
| Karmine Corp | 21¢ | 21.0% | — | $33 | 0.1% |
| Natus Vincere | 19¢ | 19.0% | -7.0 pts | $161 | 0.5% |
| Anyone's Legend | 16¢ | 16.5% | — | $393 | 1.2% |
| HANJIN BRION | 15¢ | 15.0% | -10.0 pts | $230 | 0.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$31.8K has been traded on this event in total, $93 of it in the last 24 hours, across 40 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves the listed team's active League of Legends roster (defined as the active lineup listed on the listed team's Liquipedia page) by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant roster is whichever active lineup is listed on the resolution source at market creation. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single match will not count. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 388 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frail-Granny | Yes | 388 | $382 |
| Big-Hearted-Score | Yes | 256 | $252 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 174 | $3 |
| Cool-Pattypan | No | 125 | $2 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 110 | $2 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 80 | $1 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 55 | $1 |
| Angelic-Craw | No | 40 | $1 |
| Known-Use | No | 20 | $0 |
| 0x645ff613… | No | 20 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 07:49 PM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 07:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 07:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 07:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 15.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 11:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.4% | $71 |
| Oct 22, 10:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 54.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 10:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 10:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 49.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 10:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.0% | $25 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is NONGSHIM RED FORCE at 98.5%. Next is kt Rolster at 96.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/which-teams-will-make-a-roster-change-before-december-20260806154016844?via=bro
$31.8K in total volume, with $93 traded in the last 24 hours across 40 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NONGSHIM RED FORCE, priced at 98.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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