As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Andy Beshear at 87.5% in Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? — $129.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Andy Beshear, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -0.3 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since August 04, 2026, Andy Beshear has traded between 37.0% and 93.2%. It opened at 37.0% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 87.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 87.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.0% |
Andy Beshear is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Beshear | 88¢ | 87.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.3K | 1.0% |
| Ted Cruz | 82¢ | 82.5% | — | $6.0K | 4.6% |
| Pete Buttigieg | 80¢ | 79.5% | — | $2.6K | 2.0% |
| J.D. Vance | 77¢ | 76.8% | +0.4 pts | $5.1K | 3.9% |
| Gavin Newsom | 76¢ | 76.5% | — | $6.5K | 5.0% |
| Josh Shapiro | 68¢ | 67.5% | — | $946 | 0.7% |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 66¢ | 65.5% | -1.5 pts | $7.1K | 5.5% |
| Ron DeSantis | 66¢ | 65.5% | +1.0 pts | $563 | 0.4% |
| Rahm Emanuel | 61¢ | 61.0% | +1.0 pts | $1.5K | 1.2% |
| Cory Booker | 60¢ | 59.5% | — | $2.4K | 1.8% |
| Brian Kemp | 58¢ | 58.0% | +16.5 pts | $450 | 0.3% |
| Mark Kelly | 57¢ | 57.0% | +0.5 pts | $541 | 0.4% |
| Kamala Harris | 54¢ | 53.5% | -4.0 pts | $5.5K | 4.3% |
| Jon Ossoff | 54¢ | 53.5% | +6.0 pts | $4.0K | 3.1% |
| J.B. Pritzker | 53¢ | 53.0% | +5.5 pts | $1.6K | 1.3% |
| Andrew Yang | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.5 pts | $3.8K | 2.9% |
| Wes Moore | 52¢ | 51.5% | — | $220 | 0.2% |
| Raphael Warnock | 50¢ | 49.5% | +0.5 pts | $908 | 0.7% |
| Rand Paul | 46¢ | 45.5% | +4.0 pts | $462 | 0.4% |
| Marco Rubio | 42¢ | 42.5% | -3.0 pts | $3.2K | 2.4% |
| Phil Murphy | 38¢ | 38.0% | -2.5 pts | $1.5K | 1.2% |
| Katie Britt | 38¢ | 38.0% | -0.5 pts | $20 | 0.0% |
| Jared Polis | 37¢ | 37.0% | — | $80 | 0.1% |
| Hunter Biden | 36¢ | 36.5% | +3.5 pts | $5.5K | 4.3% |
| Glenn Youngkin | 34¢ | 33.5% | — | $658 | 0.5% |
| Gina Raimondo | 32¢ | 32.0% | -1.5 pts | $2.1K | 1.6% |
| Gretchen Whitmer | 32¢ | 31.5% | — | $966 | 0.7% |
| Josh Hawley | 32¢ | 31.5% | -2.5 pts | $4.9K | 3.8% |
| Steve Bannon | 30¢ | 29.5% | — | $2.4K | 1.9% |
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 26¢ | 26.0% | — | $492 | 0.4% |
| Greg Abbott | 25¢ | 25.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nikki Haley | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $361 | 0.3% |
| Elise Stefanik | 24¢ | 24.5% | — | $80 | 0.1% |
| Vivek Ramaswamy | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $252 | 0.2% |
| Byron Donalds | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $94 | 0.1% |
| Don Lemon | 22¢ | 22.5% | — | $40 | 0.0% |
| Roy Cooper | 20¢ | 20.5% | — | $40 | 0.0% |
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Stephen A. Smith | 19¢ | 19.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.1K | 0.9% |
| Tulsi Gabbard | 19¢ | 19.0% | — | $945 | 0.7% |
| Mark Cuban | 18¢ | 18.5% | — | $325 | 0.3% |
| John Fetterman | 18¢ | 18.0% | -0.5 pts | $3.2K | 2.5% |
| Tucker Carlson | 17¢ | 17.0% | — | $4.2K | 3.2% |
| Jon Stewart | 16¢ | 16.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.9K | 1.5% |
| Matt Gaetz | 16¢ | 16.5% | +0.5 pts | $358 | 0.3% |
| Kristi Noem | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $80 | 0.1% |
| Mike Pence | 16¢ | 16.0% | — | $670 | 0.5% |
| Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $990 | 0.8% |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $1.1K | 0.9% |
| Candace Owens | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $460 | 0.4% |
| Michelle Obama | 15¢ | 15.0% | — | $1.4K | 1.1% |
| John Thune | 15¢ | 15.0% | — | $203 | 0.2% |
| Liz Cheney | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $1.8K | 1.4% |
| George Clooney | 13¢ | 12.6% | -0.3 pts | $1.5K | 1.2% |
| Oprah Winfrey | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $37 | 0.0% |
| Donald Trump Jr. | 12¢ | 12.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.7K | 2.1% |
| Elon Musk | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $2.6K | 2.0% |
| Kim Kardashian | 12¢ | 12.0% | -0.5 pts | $5.3K | 4.1% |
| Donald Trump | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $100 | 0.1% |
| Bernie Sanders | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $2.4K | 1.9% |
| Beto O’Rourke | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $20 | 0.0% |
| LeBron James | 11¢ | 10.8% | -0.1 pts | $277 | 0.2% |
| Chelsea Clinton | 11¢ | 10.5% | — | $125 | 0.1% |
| Tom Brady | 10¢ | 10.0% | — | $1.2K | 0.9% |
| Zohran Mamdani | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $2.8K | 2.2% |
| MrBeast | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $1.9K | 1.5% |
| Tim Walz | 8¢ | 8.0% | -0.1 pts | $5.3K | 4.1% |
| Ivanka Trump | 7¢ | 6.9% | -0.1 pts | $389 | 0.3% |
| Erika Kirk | 6¢ | 6.0% | -0.5 pts | $4.5K | 3.5% |
| Hillary Clinton | 4¢ | 3.7% | — | $4.6K | 3.6% |
| Barack Obama | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $628 | 0.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 87¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$129.3K has been traded on this event in total, $662 of it in the last 24 hours, across 71 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 690 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Heartthrob | Yes | 690 | $604 |
| Capital-Eviction | No | 482 | $60 |
| Straight-Hunting | No | 155 | $19 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 62 | $8 |
| Those-Skywalk | Yes | 40 | $35 |
| Gifted-Rancher | No | 23 | $3 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $18 |
| Helpful-Cheese | No | 20 | $2 |
| Plain-Emery | No | 8 | $1 |
| Evil-Row | No | 7 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 10:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $16 |
| Oct 23, 02:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 02:04 AM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 11:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 11:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 11:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 31.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 05:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 22, 12:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 70.0% | $14 |
| Oct 22, 12:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Andy Beshear at 87.5%. Next is Ted Cruz at 82.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-announce-presidential-run-before-2028-20260803142755224?via=bro
$129.3K in total volume, with $662 traded in the last 24 hours across 71 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Andy Beshear, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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