As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate E at 50.0% in Prime Minister of Australia after next election? — $35.0K traded so far.
Candidate E is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 48¢ | 48.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Anthony Albanese | 44¢ | 44.0% | — | $5.1K | 14.5% |
| Candidate G | 40¢ | 40.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pauline Hanson | 22¢ | 22.0% | +0.5 pts | $25.0K | 71.5% |
| Angus Taylor | 16¢ | 16.5% | -2.5 pts | $3.0K | 8.5% |
| Jim Chalmers | 8¢ | 7.8% | +0.1 pts | $1.0K | 3.0% |
| Robbie Katter | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $391 | 1.1% |
| Larissa Waters | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $491 | 1.4% |
$35.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 17 markets.
This market is scheduled to end September 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 569 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 569 | $285 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 100 | $50 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 80 | $40 |
| Frayed-Hostel | Yes | 78 | $39 |
| Tepid-Monopoly | Yes | 75 | $38 |
| Quizzical-Arrogance | Yes | 50 | $25 |
| Cuddly-Folder | Yes | 46 | $23 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 43 | $21 |
| Worthy-Jockey | Yes | 30 | $15 |
| Stable-Plug | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 06:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 02:14 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $34 |
| Oct 23, 01:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 41.9% | $312 |
| Oct 21, 07:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 08:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 61.0% | $49 |
| Oct 17, 09:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 38.0% | $4 |
| Oct 17, 08:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 56.0% | $28 |
| Oct 16, 11:29 AM ET | No | SELL | 55.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 11:46 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 10:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate E at 50.0%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-australia-after-the-next-election-20260610170604224?via=bro
$35.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 17 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 23, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
Candidate E, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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