As of October 24, 2026, 07:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Rafael Grossi at 52.5% in Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN? — $87.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Rafael Grossi, is priced at 52.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +20.5 pts; past month: +32.5 pts.
Since December 12, 2025, Rafael Grossi has traded between 9.0% and 75.5%. It opened at 9.5% and last traded at 53.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 36.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 53.0% |
Rafael Grossi is favored at 52.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Grossi | 52¢ | 52.5% | -0.5 pts | $24.0K | 27.5% |
| Bruno Donat | 40¢ | 40.0% | +1.5 pts | $2.5K | 2.8% |
| Colombe Cahen-Salvador | 38¢ | 38.2% | -0.4 pts | $2.7K | 3.1% |
| Achim Steiner | 38¢ | 38.0% | -0.8 pts | $2.6K | 2.9% |
| Kristalina Georgieva | 19¢ | 18.9% | +0.1 pts | $1.9K | 2.2% |
| Rebeca Grynspan | 18¢ | 17.9% | +1.7 pts | $6.4K | 7.3% |
| Maria Fernanda Espinosa Garcés | 11¢ | 10.7% | +1.1 pts | $3.4K | 3.9% |
| Mia Mottley | 9¢ | 8.7% | — | $2.1K | 2.4% |
| Jacinda Ardern | 4¢ | 4.0% | +0.1 pts | $1.9K | 2.2% |
| Amina Mohammed | 1¢ | 1.5% | — | $3.9K | 4.5% |
| Michelle Bachelet | 1¢ | 0.9% | +0.2 pts | $28.7K | 32.8% |
| Alicia Bárcena | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $2.1K | 2.4% |
| Vuk Jeremić | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.6K | 3.0% |
| David Choquehuanca | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.6K | 3.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 73¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$87.3K has been traded on this event in total, $22 of it in the last 24 hours, across 47 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,979 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,979 | $940 |
| Our-Dough | Yes | 595 | $312 |
| Pristine-Business | Yes | 477 | $250 |
| 0xbc5409af… | Yes | 458 | $241 |
| Tense-Fort | Yes | 435 | $229 |
| Worst-Dragon-Speakerphone | Yes | 352 | $185 |
| Coarse-Bowtie | Yes | 242 | $127 |
| Glued | Yes | 155 | $81 |
| Palatable-Argument | No | 138 | $65 |
| Well-Groomed-Tackle | No | 132 | $62 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.4% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 08:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 09:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $34 |
| Oct 20, 08:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 08:51 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 08:48 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 08:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 28.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 10:27 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.2% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 08:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.9% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Rafael Grossi at 52.5%. Next is Bruno Donat at 40.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-secretary-general-of-the-un?via=bro
$87.3K in total volume, with $22 traded in the last 24 hours across 47 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Rafael Grossi, priced at 52.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.