As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice? — $6.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| James Ho | 40¢ | 39.5% | -1.0 pts | $964 | 14.6% |
| Gregory Katsas | 22¢ | 22.5% | -15.7 pts | $312 | 4.7% |
| Ted Cruz | 20¢ | 19.5% | -0.8 pts | $180 | 2.7% |
| Aileen Cannon | 19¢ | 19.0% | +0.4 pts | $667 | 10.1% |
| Amul Thapar | 18¢ | 18.0% | +2.0 pts | $1.4K | 21.7% |
| Andrew Oldham | 13¢ | 13.0% | — | $658 | 10.0% |
| Mike Lee | 8¢ | 7.5% | +0.1 pts | $150 | 2.3% |
| Patrick Bumatay | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.2 pts | $1.8K | 27.4% |
| Steven Menashi | 5¢ | 5.5% | -0.2 pts | $134 | 2.0% |
| John Sauer | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $162 | 2.5% |
| Neomi Rao | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.5 pts | $129 | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 75 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 75 | $38 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 32 | $16 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 24 | $12 |
| Impish-Downfall | Yes | 14 | $7 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 3 | $2 |
| Quarterly-Med | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 01:06 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $8 |
| Oct 22, 02:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 05:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 12:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 06:54 AM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 10:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 10:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 14, 10:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 14, 10:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 14, 10:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-trump-admin-next-nominate-as-scotus-justice-20260624144117702?via=bro
$6.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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