As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary? — $4.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adam Telle | 36¢ | 36.0% | -1.5 pts | $2.0K | 44.0% |
| Sean Parnell | 19¢ | 19.0% | — | $616 | 13.3% |
| Marc Andersen | 14¢ | 14.0% | -0.5 pts | $324 | 7.0% |
| W. Jordan Gillis | 10¢ | 10.3% | +0.1 pts | $197 | 4.3% |
| Michael Obadal | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $587 | 12.7% |
| Brian Mast | 8¢ | 7.5% | +0.5 pts | $334 | 7.2% |
| Brent Ingraham | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $407 | 8.8% |
| Charles Young III | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $122 | 2.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 19, 2029, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the next individual to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army between market creation and January 19, 2029, 11:59 PM ET. A person will be considered to formally assume the position of United States Secretary of the Army if they are appointed to the position by the President and confirmed by the Senate, or if they assume the position through a recess appointment. Acting or interim holders of the specified position do not qualify. If no individual assumes the position by January 19, 2029 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House or United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 166 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 166 | $83 |
| Agitated-Mobster | Yes | 75 | $38 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 26 | $13 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Joint-Lard | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 13 | $6 |
| Glossy-Believer | Yes | 7 | $4 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 03:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $18 |
| Oct 14, 03:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 05:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 57.0% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 02:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 65.0% | $13 |
| Oct 12, 12:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.0% | $6 |
| Oct 12, 12:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $18 |
| Oct 11, 09:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 11, 08:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 11, 08:24 AM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $27 |
| Oct 11, 01:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-trumps-next-army-secretary?via=bro
$4.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 19, 2029, 06:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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