Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Sean Strickland at 91.0% in Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026? — $985.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $451.
Leading outcome
Sean Strickland
91%
A 91.0% price implies roughly a 91-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.1 pts7D +2.4 pts30D +30.0 pts
Sean Strickland91.0%
Nassourdine Imavov4.9%
Bid
90¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since January 04, 2026: 0.5% – 94.4% · Opened at 3.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?
Category
UFC, Sports, mma
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$985.1K
Volume (24h)
$451
Liquidity
$36.4K
Markets
19
Leading outcome
Sean Strickland — 91.0%
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/athletes

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Sean Strickland, is priced at 91.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +2.4 pts; past month: +30.0 pts.

Since January 04, 2026, Sean Strickland has traded between 0.5% and 94.4%. It opened at 3.5% and last traded at 91.1%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202686.2%
Oct 16, 202688.8%
Oct 18, 202688.5%
Oct 19, 202689.3%
Oct 20, 202688.0%
Oct 23, 202690.8%
Oct 24, 202691.1%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Sean Strickland is favored at 91.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Sean Strickland91¢91.0%+0.1 pts$58.2K5.9%
Nassourdine Imavov5¢4.9%-0.4 pts$46.6K4.7%
Khamzat Chimaev2¢1.6%—$91.6K9.3%
Joe Pyfer0¢0.1%—$3.1K0.3%
Dricus Du Plessis0¢0.1%—$38.5K3.9%
Anthony Hernandez0¢0.1%—$73.9K7.5%
Brendan Allen0¢0.1%—$168.3K17.1%
Israel Adesanya0¢0.1%—$134.1K13.6%
Caio Borralho0¢0.1%—$168.1K17.1%
Reinier de Ridder0¢0.1%—$56.7K5.8%
Robert Whittaker0¢0.1%—$73.1K7.4%
Jared Cannonier0¢0.1%—$73.0K7.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 92¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$985.1K has been traded on this event in total, $451 of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Middleweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/athletes

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,352 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No10,352$937
Flat-WokYes3,226$2.9K
Colorless-CompulsionYes2,117$1.9K
Lonely-BogYes1,871$1.7K
Frosty-Jogging-PeaNo1,239$112
Honest-SimilarityYes1,208$1.1K
Ancient-Interviewer-PrisonYes1,075$978
Ultimate-HotdogYes778$708
0x91c9a238…No534$48
Snappy-RoosterNo419$38

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $85 at 99.9%BUY No — $40 at 99.9%BUY No — $40 at 99.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Sep 27, 12:49 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$10
Sep 27, 12:49 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$5
Sep 25, 07:01 AM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Sep 25, 06:56 AM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Sep 25, 06:56 AM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Sep 25, 06:51 AM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Sep 23, 09:44 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$2
Sep 23, 09:44 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$10
Sep 23, 09:12 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$40
Sep 22, 11:27 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$20

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Sean Strickland at 91.0%. Next is Nassourdine Imavov at 4.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-middleweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026??

$985.1K in total volume, with $451 traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.

When does Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/athletes.

What is the most likely outcome of Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

Sean Strickland, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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