As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Charles Oliveira at 20.1% in Who will become a UFC champion in 2026? — $326.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Charles Oliveira, is priced at 20.1%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +14.8 pts; past week: +15.1 pts; past month: +9.1 pts.
Since December 29, 2025, Charles Oliveira has traded between 5.0% and 54.5%. It opened at 27.0% and last traded at 20.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 5.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 20.5% |
Charles Oliveira is favored at 20.1%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Oliveira | 20¢ | 20.1% | +14.8 pts | $134 | 0.0% |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 18¢ | 18.1% | -23.8 pts | $2.3K | 0.7% |
| Sean O'Malley | 18¢ | 17.8% | -1.1 pts | $1.6K | 0.5% |
| Sergei Pavlovich | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $220 | 0.1% |
| Alexander Volkov | 10¢ | 10.3% | +2.5 pts | $673 | 0.2% |
| Nassourdine Imavov | 8¢ | 8.0% | — | $2.4K | 0.7% |
| Magomed Ankalaev | 6¢ | 6.0% | +1.1 pts | $1.4K | 0.4% |
| Dricus Du Plessis | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.1 pts | $129 | 0.0% |
| Max Holloway | 5¢ | 4.9% | +0.1 pts | $122 | 0.0% |
| Paddy Pimblett | 4¢ | 4.3% | -0.9 pts | $4.3K | 1.3% |
| Jiří Procházka | 4¢ | 4.3% | -1.1 pts | $3.7K | 1.1% |
| Manel Kape | 4¢ | 4.2% | -1.4 pts | $46.2K | 14.1% |
| Aljamain Sterling | 3¢ | 3.5% | — | $237 | 0.1% |
| Shavkat Rakhmonov | 3¢ | 3.2% | — | $73 | 0.0% |
| Arman Tsarukyan | 3¢ | 3.2% | +0.1 pts | $5.9K | 1.8% |
| Ian Machado Garry | 3¢ | 3.2% | -0.3 pts | $2.6K | 0.8% |
| Yair Rodriguez | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $47 | 0.0% |
| Belal Muhammad | 3¢ | 2.8% | +0.1 pts | $486 | 0.1% |
| Diego Lopes | 3¢ | 2.5% | +0.2 pts | $6.4K | 2.0% |
| Jack Della Maddalena | 2¢ | 1.7% | +0.1 pts | $49.7K | 15.2% |
| Leon Edwards | 1¢ | 1.4% | -0.1 pts | $41.9K | 12.8% |
| Cory Sandhagen | 1¢ | 1.3% | -0.2 pts | $335 | 0.1% |
| Kamaru Usman | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $6.9K | 2.1% |
| Alexandre Pantoja | 1¢ | 1.1% | — | $23.8K | 7.3% |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | 1¢ | 0.8% | -0.4 pts | $2.3K | 0.7% |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $1.9K | 0.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 39¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$326.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 26 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/athletes
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 35 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xd282e907… | Yes | 35 | $7 |
| Scented-Hygienic | No | 23 | $18 |
| Vivacious-Blackfish | No | 21 | $17 |
| Avaricious-Realm | Yes | 16 | $3 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 10 | $2 |
| United-Cartel | No | 10 | $8 |
| United-Welcome | No | 7 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $47 |
| Oct 23, 06:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 04:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $7 |
| Oct 16, 01:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.7% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 08:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $32 |
| Oct 15, 02:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 12:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.8% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 02:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $8 |
| Oct 09, 05:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 04:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.4% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Charles Oliveira at 20.1%. Next is Merab Dvalishvili at 18.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-become-a-ufc-champion-in-2026?via=bro
$326.6K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 26 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/athletes.
Charles Oliveira, priced at 20.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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