Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Who will Bernie endorse?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price James Talarico - TX-Sen at 8.9% in Who will Bernie endorse? — $194.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $101.
Leading outcome
James Talarico - TX-Sen
9%
A 8.9% price implies roughly a 9-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +1.9 pts7D −11.1 pts30D −11.6 pts
James Talarico - TX-Sen8.9%
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen5.9%
Bid
7¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 12, 2025: 7.0% – 90.5% · Opened at 60.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Who will Bernie endorse?
Category
bernie sanders, Politics
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 07:00 PM ET
Total volume
$194.0K
Volume (24h)
$101
Liquidity
$52.8K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
James Talarico - TX-Sen — 8.9%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, James Talarico - TX-Sen, is priced at 8.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.9 pts; past week: -11.1 pts; past month: -11.6 pts.

Since September 12, 2025, James Talarico - TX-Sen has traded between 7.0% and 90.5%. It opened at 60.0% and last traded at 7.0%.

DayClose
Oct 14, 202621.5%
Oct 15, 202615.5%
Oct 16, 202617.5%
Oct 18, 202622.0%
Oct 19, 202617.0%
Oct 20, 202612.5%
Oct 23, 20267.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

James Talarico - TX-Sen is favored at 8.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
James Talarico - TX-Sen9¢8.9%+1.9 pts$88.0K45.3%
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen6¢5.9%+1.1 pts$13.5K7.0%
Dan Osborn - NE-Sen6¢5.8%—$28.1K14.5%
Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov2¢2.4%+0.1 pts$24.8K12.8%
Zach Wahls - IA-Sen2¢1.9%-0.1 pts$16.5K8.5%
Kshama Sawant - WA-090¢0.5%—$18.9K9.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$194.0K has been traded on this event in total, $101 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election. If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,325 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Impossible-RejectNo1,325$1.2K
Functional-HeartthrobYes630$56
Experienced-Smell-RailroadNo340$309
Scrawny-VentureYes300$27
0x6b0ebbef…Yes256$23
Sane-DocumentationYes251$22
Colorful-WinkYes232$21
Belated-GlueYes223$20
Whimsical-SellerYes199$18
Frosty-Jogging-PeaYes180$16

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $796 at 95.0%BUY No — $463 at 95.7%SELL No — $194 at 96.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:12 PM ETNoSELL89.4%$6
Oct 24, 09:14 AM ETYesBUY6.0%$1
Oct 24, 09:13 AM ETNoSELL94.0%$25
Oct 24, 01:01 AM ETYesBUY7.0%$1
Oct 23, 09:57 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$25
Oct 23, 07:40 PM ETYesSELL9.0%$0
Oct 23, 08:34 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$0
Oct 22, 11:30 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$0
Oct 22, 11:30 AM ETYesBUY10.7%$2
Oct 22, 11:30 AM ETNoSELL94.9%$142

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Who will Bernie endorse??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is James Talarico - TX-Sen at 8.9%. Next is Alan Grayson - FL-Sen at 5.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-bernie-endorse?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Who will Bernie endorse??

$194.0K in total volume, with $101 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does Who will Bernie endorse? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Who will Bernie endorse?, according to Polymarket traders?

James Talarico - TX-Sen, priced at 8.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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