As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Geralt of Rivia at 85.0% in Who will die in The Witcher: Season 5? — $34.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Geralt of Rivia, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -4.5 pts.
Since May 13, 2026, Geralt of Rivia has traded between 29.0% and 93.0%. It opened at 29.0% and last traded at 85.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.0% |
Geralt of Rivia is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geralt of Rivia | 85¢ | 85.0% | +1.0 pts | $28.5K | 83.4% |
| Vilgefortz | 76¢ | 75.5% | — | $1.4K | 4.1% |
| Regis | 69¢ | 69.0% | +0.5 pts | $129 | 0.4% |
| Yennefer of Vengerberg | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.5 pts | $3.6K | 10.4% |
| Jaskier | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $1 | 0.0% |
| Cahir | 50¢ | 50.5% | +0.5 pts | $10 | 0.0% |
| Emhyr | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $553 | 1.6% |
| Princess Cirilla | 42¢ | 42.0% | +0.5 pts | $7 | 0.0% |
| Milva | 37¢ | 37.0% | — | $23 | 0.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$34.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Season 5 of The Witcher is expected to air on Netflix in late 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "The Witcher: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "The Witcher: Season 5" will count toward resolution. Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "The Witcher: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution. If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "The Witcher: Season 5" will qualify. Only events depicted in official "The Witcher: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,910 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Attached-Length | Yes | 2,910 | $2.5K |
| Early-Supernatural | No | 1,296 | $194 |
| Essential-Diarist | No | 1,221 | $183 |
| Brave-Cornflakes | No | 1,000 | $150 |
| Fickle-Outlay | Yes | 971 | $825 |
| Mild-Unit | Yes | 683 | $580 |
| Evil-Row | No | 551 | $83 |
| Tremendous-Divide | No | 250 | $38 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor | Yes | 150 | $128 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 86 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 06:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 57.3% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 09:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 02:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $11 |
| Oct 06, 11:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $20 |
| Sep 28, 03:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
| Sep 27, 09:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $1 |
| Sep 08, 07:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 75.4% | $12 |
| Sep 06, 06:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.0% | $5 |
| Sep 03, 04:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $3 |
| Aug 18, 03:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.4% | $63 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Geralt of Rivia at 85.0%. Next is Vilgefortz at 75.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-die-in-the-witcher-season-5?via=bro
$34.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Geralt of Rivia, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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