As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Nobody at 87.5% in Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election? — $6.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Nobody, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +5.0 pts.
Since September 29, 2026, Nobody has traded between 64.5% and 88.0%. It opened at 64.5% and last traded at 87.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 84.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.0% |
Nobody is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nobody | 88¢ | 87.5% | +0.5 pts | $4.0K | 59.1% |
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ken Paxton | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $1.8K | 26.4% |
| James Talarico | 3¢ | 2.8% | -0.2 pts | $988 | 14.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 10 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Midterm election for the United States Senate is scheduled to occur on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate John Cornyn endorses in that election. An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race. If John Cornyn does not announce an endorsement by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Cornyn and his representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting on Conryn's endorsement may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 645 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shallow-Astrology | Yes | 645 | $564 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 614 | $77 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 501 | $63 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | No | 500 | $63 |
| Unfit-Hardboard | Yes | 457 | $400 |
| Weird-Freedom | Yes | 250 | $219 |
| Long-Term-Slime-Capon | Yes | 100 | $88 |
| 0x546029093abad5c5615f72c903908baccfc8c7b5 | Yes | 100 | $87 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 63 | $8 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 60 | $52 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 12:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 12:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 88.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 12:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 09:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.0% | $23 |
| Oct 21, 09:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 09:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 85.0% | $51 |
| Oct 21, 09:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 01:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 18.0% | $2 |
| Oct 19, 01:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.0% | $10 |
| Oct 19, 01:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Nobody at 87.5%. Next is Candidate A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-john-cornyn-endorse-in-the-texas-senate-election?via=bro
$6.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 10 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 02, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Nobody, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.